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Bullhauler
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Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Posts: 707
Location: South Dakota

PostPosted: Tue Aug 03, 2010 6:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Whenever I have sold a crop at harvest time because the price was "high" I have regretted it later. A few years back I sold my wheat for $5.85 right out of the field. By the next February wheat was in the high teens. Another year in the nineties I made the same mistake with corn.

I finished my wheat yesterday. It averaged 15.3% protein. That is about an .85 premium over 14%. I have never had high protein wheat before when there was a big premium for it. I wonder if the protein premiums will disappear in the next few weeks.


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Bullhauler
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Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Posts: 707
Location: South Dakota

PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 10:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The bull is still kicking wheat is up over thirty cents right now.


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Larrry
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Joined: 23 Jul 2007
Posts: 5118
Location: The good ole USA

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 6:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

up 60 in overnight trading


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Larrry
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Joined: 23 Jul 2007
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Location: The good ole USA

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

and now this:

Russian to put temporary ban on grain exports due to drought, wildfires
Aug. 05, 2010

Multiple news outlets report this morning that Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said "I think it is advisable to introduce a temporary ban on the export from Russia of grain and other agriculture products made from grain." Reports are that the ban will last from Aug. 15 to Dec. 1.

The BBC reports that Putin said that grain from the state reserves would not be auctioned but would be distributed to regions with the greatest need. "The aim in this case is not to make more money, but to aid those farmers that need help today," the prime minister said at a government meeting, according to the BBC.
He added that the government would provide 10 billion rubles ($335 million) in subsidies and another 25bn rubles in loans to agricultural companies affected by the drought.

Earlier this week, wheat prices rocketed on the news about Russia's crops devastated by a severe drought and ensuing wildfires.

SOURCE: BBC and other news outlets.


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Oldtimer
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 24333
Location: Northeast Montana

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Larrry wrote:
up 60 in overnight trading


Clap Clap Clap

Quote:
Ukraine, another major exporter, also has canceled several wheat export contracts due to lack of supply from farmers and other issues, trading executives said. The news heightened fears about tightening supplies because export restrictions in the former Soviet Union helped shove prices to record high prices in early 2008.


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Whitewing
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Joined: 04 Sep 2009
Posts: 2403
Location: Venezuela

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wouldn't wish drought on anyone. Lived through one last year and boy was it tough. Locals who've been ranching for 30 years in my area said they'd never seen it so bad.


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Faster horses
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Joined: 11 Feb 2005
Posts: 18920
Location: SE MT

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I Agree

One thing about drought. Seems everyone gets to experience it.
Might be our turn next.


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Whitewing
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Joined: 04 Sep 2009
Posts: 2403
Location: Venezuela

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Excuse me if this was posted already:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20100805/ts_afp/russiaheatwavefiresfarmcropscommoditiesgrain_20100805162243

Putin bans Russia grain exports due to drought

Russia, the world's third wheat exporter, Thursday banned grain exports for the next four-and-a-half months due to a record drought that has destroyed millions of hectares (acres) of its land.

Wheat futures shot up to new two-year highs on commodities markets after the sudden announcement from Prime Minister Vladimir Putin raised concerns about global grain supplies.


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Larrry
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Joined: 23 Jul 2007
Posts: 5118
Location: The good ole USA

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just remember there is no such thing as a FREE LUNCH, somebody has to pay for it


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Texan
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 2911
Location: East Texas

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 6:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oldtimer wrote:
Larrry wrote:
up 60 in overnight trading


Clap Clap Clap

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I didn't think you liked to see surges in commodity prices due to speculation? Or is it different if the speculators help you line your own pockets?


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Oldtimer
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 24333
Location: Northeast Montana

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Texan wrote:
Oldtimer wrote:
Larrry wrote:
up 60 in overnight trading


Clap Clap Clap

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I didn't think you liked to see surges in commodity prices due to speculation? Or is it different if the speculators help you line your own pockets?


This is probably not just speculator driven but rather an idea of the real market- supply and demand driven...
Thats what the market was intended to do....


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Texan
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 2911
Location: East Texas

PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oldtimer wrote:
This is probably not just speculator driven but rather an idea of the real market- supply and demand driven...
Thats what the market was intended to do....

Yes. Very similar to what happened in the oil markets two years ago - a run-up in prices due to concerns over an imbalance in supply/demand. And you blamed it all on "GW" and greedy speculators, didn't you?


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