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What If

 
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feeder
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Joined: 12 Feb 2005
Posts: 951
Location: Iowa

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 3:57 pm    Post subject: What If Reply with quote

There are those that are called a packer blamer, anti USDA, anti Gipsa anti business because they stand against many dealings that they believe are wrong. As a finisher of cattle I see what has happened here with the industry moving to vertical integration in regards to the packers. As a rancher selling calves, there are many buyers bidding on your stock. What if there were only packers left that owned the feedlots that supplied the cattle to their plants. The number of buyers would be cut drastically. They could fix the price ranchers receive due to less competition. Does anyone else see what could be coming in the future?


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DiamondSCattleCo
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Joined: 12 Dec 2005
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Location: NE Saskatchewan

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 4:45 pm    Post subject: Re: What If Reply with quote

feeder wrote:
Does anyone else see what could be coming in the future?


Well, most of us packer blamers have posted something along this line in the past and been soundly berated and told that the packers would NEVER do anything to the beef industry like they did to the chicken industry.

Whats happening is that we're slowly moving to corporate contract beef ranching, and there will be just enough sellouts in the crowd to make this possible.

Rod


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rkaiser
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Joined: 14 Feb 2005
Posts: 1953
Location: Ponoka Alberta

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 5:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Coming in the future Feeder? It's happening before our very eyes. Not enough entepreneurs left to stop it. Most are satisfied with roles as serfs, or cattle industry service professionals Laughing . Margin players - whatever term you wan to imply.

Our best bet is to hang on for our meager life times and possibly those of our kids if we are a bit older, but the ranching lifestyle of ownership and manifesting your own destiny is heading the way of the chicken, hog and dodo bird industry.


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Tommy
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Joined: 11 Feb 2005
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Location: South East Kansas

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 5:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rkaiser...Our best bet is to hang on for our meager life times and possibly those of our kids if we are a bit older, but the ranching lifestyle of ownership and manifesting your own destiny is heading the way of the chicken, hog and dodo bird industry.

I hope you are wrong Randy, but I fear that you are right.


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Sandhusker
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 18076
Location: Nebraska

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 5:52 pm    Post subject: Re: What If Reply with quote

DiamondSCattleCo wrote:
feeder wrote:
Does anyone else see what could be coming in the future?


Well, most of us packer blamers have posted something along this line in the past and been soundly berated and told that the packers would NEVER do anything to the beef industry like they did to the chicken industry.

Whats happening is that we're slowly moving to corporate contract beef ranching, and there will be just enough sellouts in the crowd to make this possible.

Rod


Well said.


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Econ101
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Joined: 26 Aug 2005
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Location: TX

PostPosted: Sat Mar 11, 2006 5:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Feeder and Rod, you hit the nail on the head.


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CattleRMe
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Joined: 01 Feb 2006
Posts: 886
Location: Nebraska

PostPosted: Sun Mar 12, 2006 10:20 am    Post subject: Re: What If Reply with quote

feeder wrote:
There are those that are called a packer blamer, anti USDA, anti Gipsa anti business because they stand against many dealings that they believe are wrong. As a finisher of cattle I see what has happened here with the industry moving to vertical integration in regards to the packers. As a rancher selling calves, there are many buyers bidding on your stock. What if there were only packers left that owned the feedlots that supplied the cattle to their plants. The number of buyers would be cut drastically. They could fix the price ranchers receive due to less competition. Does anyone else see what could be coming in the future?


Isn't that the idea of some that once an animal is bought the line that it travels will be predetermined right to the grocery store shelf it will sit on?


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Kato
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Joined: 10 Feb 2005
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Location: Manitoba - At the end of the road

PostPosted: Sun Mar 12, 2006 10:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

In Canada we have chicken marketing boards. These are producer run entities through which all chicken are bought and sold. Producers have quotas that they must stay within, and the processors must pay the price negotiated by the marketing boards if they want chicken.

A package of skinless boneless chicken breasts will cost you about $8.00 a pound in our local store.

I've never seen a Canadian poultry farmer go broke. They don't raise birds under the supervision of any packer. They are all independent producers. A friend of ours just retired very nicely on just the sale of quota alone without parting with any other assets.

Does this tell us something?

Yup.. American trade negotiators are dedicated to dismantling our system .

I know a lot of independent types resist this sort of thing, but it does say something for the benefits of primary producers getting together to get a little control over their own futures.

I also remember a short period of time years back when we in Manitoba actually had a beef marketing desk. It's a long time ago, but I can't remember having a lot of issues with it at the time. It was just for fat cattle, not for feeders. Free trade blew that out of the water.


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cowzilla
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Joined: 27 Sep 2005
Posts: 363
Location: east of kato

PostPosted: Sun Mar 12, 2006 2:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kato : These guys don't want to hear about supply management . I too have never seen a ckicken farm go under and the most secure cattle opperations in this area are the Dairy Farms. They have a guarenteed adjusted price of product ajusted to cost imputs. They work hard (just like the rest of us) but enjoy a more secure lifestyle and when a piece of steel gets old or a bit wore out they just go a buy a new one .


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Econ101
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Joined: 26 Aug 2005
Posts: 7061
Location: TX

PostPosted: Sun Mar 12, 2006 2:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is supply management in the poultry business in the U.S. right now.

It is just oversupply.


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