• If you are having problems logging in please use the Contact Us in the lower right hand corner of the forum page for assistance.

A poll Oldtimer will not post

Tam

Well-known member
Romney Win Predicted By Famously Accurate Election Model
Thursday, 23 Aug 2012 05:10 PM

By Patrick Hobin

If an analysis that has correctly predicted the winners of the last eight presidential races is to be believed then Mitt Romney will be elected the 45th president of the United States in November, the Boulder Daily Camera reported.

University of Colorado political science professors have predicted the outcome of presidential elections since 1980, and have been right each time. They are forecasting Romney to win 52.9 percent of the popular vote compared with 47.1 for Obama, the Camera reported.

The professors, Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry, conducted a state-by-state analysis using economic data. It shows that President Barack Obama will only win 218 votes in the electoral college. He needs 270 to be re-elected.

The election cycle mirrors that of 1980 in some ways, Bickers told the paper, with the economy in a drawn-out slump. Ronald Reagan triumphed over President Jimmy Carter in that race.

"If the economy were just average, we would be forecasting Obama to win," Bickers told the Camera. "But the economy is below average, and he is struggling."

Read more on Newsmax.com: Romney Win Predicted By Famously Accurate Election Model
Important: Do You Support Pres. Obama's Re-Election? Vote Here Now!
 

Steve

Well-known member
since OT likes Intrade...

right now Romney is heading up... and Obama is heading down...

earlier this week Romney started gaining traction.. and now has increased almost 8% points.. now at 29.8%

had I bought more at around $2.22 average ... I would have made a nicer chunk of change already.. :lol:

but I had trouble getting the orders filled at that price.. and didn't spend enough time getting more.. :cry:

I am tempted to lay a bit more on.. .. :)

it would cost about $3.20 today to get a decent order covered..
 
Top