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Bush's Fault too?

Mike

Well-known member
By: Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University
Cross Post at Climate Audit (h/t) Steve McIntyre

Unless a dramatic and historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). For the period of June 1 - TODAY, only 1977 has experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity than 2007. For the North Atlantic basin, Tropical Storm Noel is currently too weak to impact any of these results. However, one should always be prepared for late-season developments since hurricane season ends on November 30.

2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

2006 and 2007 lowest October activity on record since 1976 and 1977
 

Tex

Well-known member
Mike said:
By: Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University
Cross Post at Climate Audit (h/t) Steve McIntyre

Unless a dramatic and historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). For the period of June 1 - TODAY, only 1977 has experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity than 2007. For the North Atlantic basin, Tropical Storm Noel is currently too weak to impact any of these results. However, one should always be prepared for late-season developments since hurricane season ends on November 30.

2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

2006 and 2007 lowest October activity on record since 1976 and 1977



No.


Even global warming can not be blamed on Bush, but it can be blamed on us collectively if it is indeed because of fossil fuel use.


Many people think that all the things that are possibilities as a result of global warming will happen as predicted.

Much of the reason the hurricane season is not as big as predicted has to do with all the conditions necessary for hurricanes (and cyclones). That includes high pressure over a low pressure. Many possible storms are ripped apart because a high pressure is not on top of the lower atmosphere low pressure. Upper level winds can prevent a high pressure from occurring, giving a cyclone one of the conditions it needs.

More heat on the earth may indeed cause more atmospheric H2O, another element of cyclones. That doesn't mean all the conditions for cyclones to develop are there. Global warming predictions are nothing more than educated guesses. Sometimes those guesses are right, sometimes wrong, just as cyclone movement is still not fully known or understood.

Cyclones are largely as a result of the equatorial regions being heated faster than the temperate and polar regions. Cyclones help re-distribute this heat. It seems to me that global warming is more of a whole planet phenomena, not just an uneven heating of the earth that is the cause of cyclone conditions. This is possibly why there is not that much of a connection between TCs and global warming.
 

Big Muddy rancher

Well-known member
Tex said:
Mike said:
By: Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University
Cross Post at Climate Audit (h/t) Steve McIntyre

Unless a dramatic and historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). For the period of June 1 - TODAY, only 1977 has experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity than 2007. For the North Atlantic basin, Tropical Storm Noel is currently too weak to impact any of these results. However, one should always be prepared for late-season developments since hurricane season ends on November 30.

2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

2006 and 2007 lowest October activity on record since 1976 and 1977



No.


Even global warming can not be blamed on Bush, but it can be blamed on us collectively if it is indeed because of fossil fuel use.


Many people think that all the things that are possibilities as a result of global warming will happen as predicted.

Much of the reason the hurricane season is not as big as predicted has to do with all the conditions necessary for hurricanes (and cyclones). That includes high pressure over a low pressure. Many possible storms are ripped apart because a high pressure is not on top of the lower atmosphere low pressure. Upper level winds can prevent a high pressure from occurring, giving a cyclone one of the conditions it needs.

More heat on the earth may indeed cause more atmospheric H2O, another element of cyclones. That doesn't mean all the conditions for cyclones to develop are there. Global warming predictions are nothing more than educated guesses. Sometimes those guesses are right, sometimes wrong, just as cyclone movement is still not fully known or understood.

Cyclones are largely as a result of the equatorial regions being heated faster than the temperate and polar regions. Cyclones help re-distribute this heat. It seems to me that global warming is more of a whole planet phenomena, not just an uneven heating of the earth that is the cause of cyclone conditions. This is possibly why there is not that much of a connection between TCs and global warming.


BOY master of Economics and a Climatoligist. Will the wonders ever cease.
 

kolanuraven

Well-known member
I'm going the route you guys go with Clinton....



My answer is YES.....EVERYTHING is the fault of GW!!


( At least I'm staying true to form!! :wink: :wink: )
 

jigs

Well-known member
Big Muddy rancher said:
Tex said:
Mike said:
By: Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University
Cross Post at Climate Audit (h/t) Steve McIntyre

Unless a dramatic and historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). For the period of June 1 - TODAY, only 1977 has experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity than 2007. For the North Atlantic basin, Tropical Storm Noel is currently too weak to impact any of these results. However, one should always be prepared for late-season developments since hurricane season ends on November 30.

2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

2006 and 2007 lowest October activity on record since 1976 and 1977



No.


Even global warming can not be blamed on Bush, but it can be blamed on us collectively if it is indeed because of fossil fuel use.


Many people think that all the things that are possibilities as a result of global warming will happen as predicted.

Much of the reason the hurricane season is not as big as predicted has to do with all the conditions necessary for hurricanes (and cyclones). That includes high pressure over a low pressure. Many possible storms are ripped apart because a high pressure is not on top of the lower atmosphere low pressure. Upper level winds can prevent a high pressure from occurring, giving a cyclone one of the conditions it needs.

More heat on the earth may indeed cause more atmospheric H2O, another element of cyclones. That doesn't mean all the conditions for cyclones to develop are there. Global warming predictions are nothing more than educated guesses. Sometimes those guesses are right, sometimes wrong, just as cyclone movement is still not fully known or understood.

Cyclones are largely as a result of the equatorial regions being heated faster than the temperate and polar regions. Cyclones help re-distribute this heat. It seems to me that global warming is more of a whole planet phenomena, not just an uneven heating of the earth that is the cause of cyclone conditions. This is possibly why there is not that much of a connection between TCs and global warming.


BOY master of Economics and a Climatoligist. Will the wonders ever cease.
if he was a gynecologist he would hit the trifecta!
 

Tex

Well-known member
jiggs, I will leave that to Ron Paul.

As Henry Ford once said, I might not know all the right answers, but I know the people who can get them.
 
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