Steve said:So far about all the news stations have claimed an Obama victory in debate three..
but using an OT indicator..
Intrade..
before the debate.. Obama 60.8% Romney 39.6%
today.. Obama 57% Romney 43%
a clear three point shift..
Who Will Win? 51% Say Obama, 39% Romney
Monday, October 22, 2012
Fifty-one percent (51%) of Likely U.S. Voters still think President Obama is the likely winner of the presidential race, while 39% expect Mitt Romney to come out on top, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
Other than brief convention bounces, this is the first time either candidate has led by more than three points in months. See daily tracking history.
Romney attracts support from 89% of Republican voters. The president earns the vote from 82% of Democrats. Among those not affiliated with either major party, the GOP challenger leads by nine.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, virtually all of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of last night’s final presidential debate. It will take a few days to see if the debate had a significant impact on the race.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
Republicans now have a one-point edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot. For most of the past few years, Republicans have enjoyed a larger advantage on this basic measure of the nation’s political mood. Over the past month or so, however, it has been close to even just about every week.
New polling data shows Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy up by a point over Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race. The Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings project that Democrats will end up with 48 Senate seats, the Republicans 47, with five remaining Toss-Ups. In addition to Connecticut, the races in Massachusetts, Montana, Virginia and Wisconsin remain Toss-Ups.
New data will be released today for Senate races in North Dakota and Arizona.
In the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections, the president has 237 Electoral Votes and Romney 235. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Seven states with 66 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire.
According to a new today's Gallup poll of likely voters, Mitt Romney has 51% and President Obama with 45% in a 7-day rolling average. With 14 days to go until the election the daily national tracking poll showed Mitt Romney has a significant lead over President Obama.
According to a Gallup poll all registered voters are asked: All registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for [ROTATED: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats (or) Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans]?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan and their leanings are incorporated into the results.
Gallup poll shows these results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2 percentage points.
The "economy in general" ranks No. 1 on Gallup's most important problem list in October, with 37% of Americans saying it is the top issue facing the country. This is up from 29% in September and exceeds unemployment, in second place at 26%. Mentions of unemployment are down this month from 32% in September, likely reflecting the recent decline in the government's jobless rate to 7.8%.
Mitt Romney has reestablished his advantage on the economy, with likely voters favoring him. when asked who would do a better job on the issue
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/08/201285133440424621.htmlIraq, Iran, Syria Sign $10 Billion Gas-Pipeline Deal
The oil ministers of Iraq, Iran and Syria Monday signed a preliminary agreement for a $10 billion natural-gas-pipeline deal, the official Iranian News Agency IRNA and other Iranian media reported.
The pipeline length is more than 1,500 kilometers and will run from Assalouyeh to Damascus while passing through Iraq, with a transfer capacity of 110 million cubic meters of natural gas a day, it said.
Iran has been approaching its allies in the region such as Iraq and Syria to export its gas after western firms have pulled out of Iran's lucrative energy sector because of international dispute over Tehran's nuclear program, which the West and the U.S. suspect is aimed at producing nuclear bombs.
Syria's Pipelineistan war
More than a year ago, a $10 billion Pipelineistan deal was clinched between Iran, Iraq and Syria for a natural gas pipeline to be built by 2016 from Iran's giant South Pars field, traversing Iraq and Syria, with a possible extension to Lebanon. Key export target market: Europe.
During the past 12 months, with Syria plunged into civil war, there was no pipeline talk. Up until now. The European Union's supreme paranoia is to become a hostage of Russia's Gazprom. The Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline would be essential to diversify Europe's energy supplies away from Russia.
It gets more complicated. Turkey happens to be Gazprom's second-largest customer. The whole Turkish energy security architecture depends on gas from Russia - and Iran. Turkey dreams of becoming the new China, configuring Anatolia as the ultimate Pipelineistan strategic crossroads for the export of Russian, Caspian-Central Asian, Iraqi and Iranian oil and gas to Europe.
Syria is not a major oil producer; its reserves are dwindling. Yet until the outbreak of civil war, Damascus was making a hardly negligible $4 billion a year in oil sales - a third of the government budget.
Syria is way more important as an energy crossroads
The centrepiece of Syria's energy strategy is the "Four Seas Policy" - a concept introduced by Bashar al-Assad in early 2011, two months before the start of the uprising. It's like a mini-Turkish power play - an energy network linking the Mediterranean, the Caspian, the Black Sea and the Gulf.