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Different Polls

A

Anonymous

Guest
We all know the regular polls have Obama up by 6 points average-

But I found some irregular polls...

The getdrunkandvote4mccain website has a Who would be most apt to cheat on their wife poll (thats the only one McCain is winning :wink: :lol: )
6,343 • 55%
John McCain is more likely to cheat on Cindy McCain.

3,399- 30%
Barack Obama is more likely to cheat on Michelle Obama
Most the comments with that one go to the fact of McCains philandering history and once a cheater, always a cheater....


The election "stock market" now has it:
Intrade Market Prices for General Election: McCain vs. Obama
Obama 84
McCain 15.8

The average bookie gambling spread right now is
Obama 1/10 (Bet $10 to get back $1 if Obama wins :( )
McCain 11/2 (Bet $2 to get back $11 if McCain wins)

This fellow even has the race over :roll:

Irish bookie calls US race over, pays off on Obama

The race is over as far as Ireland's biggest bookmaker is concerned.

Paddy Power PLC says it is so sure Barack Obama will win the U.S. presidential election next month that it paid off Thursday on all bets it had taken backing the Democratic candidate. It said it shelled out more than euro1 million, about $1.35 million.

"We declare this race well and truly over and congratulate all those who backed Obama — your winnings await you," the company said in a statement.

----------------

Powers said the biggest winner among the Obama bettors was someone who gambled euro100,000 and got back a total of euro150,000.

--------------------------

Despite calling the contest, the Dublin-based bookmaker said it is still taking new bets on the race. A John McCain victory Nov. 4 on a bet placed Thursday would pay off euro5 for every euro1 bet. By contrast, each euro1 bet on Obama would net just 11 euro cents.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081016/ap_on_re_eu/eu_ireland_obama_bookmaker
 

fff

Well-known member
Would you call this desperation or stupidity?

An internal investigation by the popular online market Intrade has revealed that an investor’s purchases prompted “unusual” price swings that boosted the prediction that Sen. John McCain will become president.

Over the past several weeks, the investor has pushed hundreds of thousands of dollars into one of Intrade’s predictive markets for the presidential election, the company said.

“The trading that caused the unusual price movements and discrepancies was principally due to a single ‘institutional’ member on Intrade,” said the company’s chief executive, John Delaney, in a statement released Thursday. “We have been in contact with the firm on a number of occasions. I have spoken to those involved personally.”

After the internal investigation into the trading patterns, Intrade found no wrongdoing or violation of its exchange rules, according to the company.

Citing privacy policies, Delaney would not disclose the investor’s identity or whether the investor was affiliated with any political campaign.

According to Delaney the investor was using “increased depth” in the Intrade market “to manage certain risks.” The action boosted the McCain prediction over its previous market value and above the levels of competing predictive-market Web sites.

Pundits and politicians have used Intrade to track the fortunes of the two presidential candidates. Through the site, begun in 1999 and incorporated in Ireland, traders buy and sell “contracts” that function as stocks, allowing investors to gamble on the outcome of political, cultural, or even geological events such as the weather.

The company asserts and experts have found that the Intrade market is generally more accurate in predicting the outcome of major events than other leading indicators, including public opinion polls. But the relatively small scale of the market and its lack of outside regulation could leave the system vulnerable to unscrupulous investors, scholars of predictive markets say.

Justin Wolfers, an associate professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, said the trades in question do not follow any logical investment strategy.

“Who knows who’s doing it, it’s obviously someone who wants good news for McCain,” said Wolfers, who has been following the situation closely.

McCain campaign spokesman Michael Goldfarb said: “It’s always a good time to buy McCain.”

More at the link: http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000002976265&cpage=1
 

hopalong

Well-known member
fff said:
Would you call this desperation or stupidity?

An internal investigation by the popular online market Intrade has revealed that an investor’s purchases prompted “unusual” price swings that boosted the prediction that Sen. John McCain will become president.

Over the past several weeks, the investor has pushed hundreds of thousands of dollars into one of Intrade’s predictive markets for the presidential election, the company said.

“The trading that caused the unusual price movements and discrepancies was principally due to a single ‘institutional’ member on Intrade,” said the company’s chief executive, John Delaney, in a statement released Thursday. “We have been in contact with the firm on a number of occasions. I have spoken to those involved personally.”

After the internal investigation into the trading patterns, Intrade found no wrongdoing or violation of its exchange rules, according to the company.

Citing privacy policies, Delaney would not disclose the investor’s identity or whether the investor was affiliated with any political campaign.

According to Delaney the investor was using “increased depth” in the Intrade market “to manage certain risks.” The action boosted the McCain prediction over its previous market value and above the levels of competing predictive-market Web sites.

Pundits and politicians have used Intrade to track the fortunes of the two presidential candidates. Through the site, begun in 1999 and incorporated in Ireland, traders buy and sell “contracts” that function as stocks, allowing investors to gamble on the outcome of political, cultural, or even geological events such as the weather.

The company asserts and experts have found that the Intrade market is generally more accurate in predicting the outcome of major events than other leading indicators, including public opinion polls. But the relatively small scale of the market and its lack of outside regulation could leave the system vulnerable to unscrupulous investors, scholars of predictive markets say.

Justin Wolfers, an associate professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, said the trades in question do not follow any logical investment strategy.

“Who knows who’s doing it, it’s obviously someone who wants good news for McCain,” said Wolfers, who has been following the situation closely.

McCain campaign spokesman Michael Goldfarb said: “It’s always a good time to buy McCain.”

More at the link: http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000002976265&cpage=1

Stupidity if you believe polls!

Even worse than stupid if you believe all the the crap the leftist media puts out!
So I guess that makes you doubly Stupid :D :D :D
 
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