A
Anonymous
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The Votemaster http://www.electoral-vote.com/ has finally released his Final polling predictions... You can go there to look at the maps or final individual polls...
Electoral Vote Polls
Obama 353 McCain 174 Ties 11
Senate
Dem 58 GOP 42
House
Dem 249
GOP 184
Ties 2
Final Polling Map
So after 2 years, nearly a billion dollars raised and spent, dozens of debates, and many surprises, what does it look like? If you are a Democrat, it looks good; correspondingly, if you are a Republican, it looks gloomy. John McCain made a last-ditch effort to gain ground in Pennsylvania, but it appears to have failed. Obama will take all the states John Kerry won in 2004, worth 252 electoral votes. He also has led consistently in three Bush states: Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado, worth a total of 21 electoral votes. Together with the Kerry states, this gives Obama 273 EVs and the presidency, even if McCain runs the table on the other swing states. However, Obama is leading in Nevada, Ohio, and Virginia, and essentially tied in Florida, North Carolina, and Missouri. It is likely that Obama will win the election with well over 300 electoral votes, possibly 350 of them.
The Senate map doesn't look any cheerier for the Republicans. Democrats are very likely to pick up Senate seats in Alaska, Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon, and Virginia, giving them 58 (counting independents Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders who caucus with the Democrats). They have a 50-50 shot at knocking off Norm Coleman in Minnesota, which would give them 59. They have a chance to win seats in Kentucky, Georgia, and Mississippi, but these appear to be longshots. Our best guess is that the Democrats will end up with 58-60 seats in the Senate (counting Lieberman and Sanders).
The House is going to be like the Senate: a Democratic landslide. There are too many races to list in detail here, but a Democratic pickup of 25-35 seats seems probable.
In governorland, the Democrats will probably hold Washington and Montana, maybe North Carolina, and pick up Missouri. Republicans will hold Indiana. The othere weren't really contested.
Even Karl Rove is now predicting an Obama victory, 338 to 200 electoral votes. However, he is predicting McCain wins of 1% or less in Indiana, North Carolina, and Missouri, woth 37 EVs, which could conceivable flip to Obama.