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Gallup Poll Shows Bump In Approval Obama After Convention

flounder

Well-known member
Gallup Poll Shows Bump In Approval For Obama After Convention


Posted: 09/07/2012 2:42 pm Updated: 09/07/2012 3:10 pm



Those looking for a convention bump may find what they are looking for in the Gallup daily tracking poll, which produced good news on Friday for President Barack Obama.

Gallup's last three nights of interviewing of adults, conducted Sept. 4 to 6, shows Obama with a 52 percent approval rating, the highest approval percentage reported for Obama on the Gallup tracking poll since May 2011, just after the killing of Osama bin Laden.

The latest results represent a seven percentage point increase in Obama's approval rating, from 45 percent, from Gallup's previous three-day sample, conducted Sept. 1 to 3. Each sample is based on interviews with roughly 1,500 adults and has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percent. ...



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/07/gallup-convention-bump-obama_n_1865156.html
 

Tam

Well-known member
Was that polling taken before or after Axlerod had his little talk with Gallup and the DOJ threatened to launch a lawsuit against them. :?

Anything coming out of Gallup now has to be taken with a warning due to Obama using his big Legal Stick on them. :roll:

The Reputations this guy will destroy to make himself look better is shameful.
 

Larrry

Well-known member
flounder said:
Gallup Poll Shows Bump In Approval For Obama After Convention


Posted: 09/07/2012 2:42 pm Updated: 09/07/2012 3:10 pm



Those looking for a convention bump may find what they are looking for in the Gallup daily tracking poll, which produced good news on Friday for President Barack Obama.

Gallup's last three nights of interviewing of adults, conducted Sept. 4 to 6, shows Obama with a 52 percent approval rating, the highest approval percentage reported for Obama on the Gallup tracking poll since May 2011, just after the killing of Osama bin Laden.

The latest results represent a seven percentage point increase in Obama's approval rating, from 45 percent, from Gallup's previous three-day sample, conducted Sept. 1 to 3. Each sample is based on interviews with roughly 1,500 adults and has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percent. ...



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/07/gallup-convention-bump-obama_n_1865156.html

you just keep on telling yourself that :lol: :lol:
 

Larrry

Well-known member
Many conventions goers are to have claimed that during obamas speech they had visions of Teddy Kennedy swimming for shore.
 

Tam

Well-known member
From someone that is not being threatened by Obama and the DOJ.
Friday, September 07, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 45% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
 

TSR

Well-known member
Tam maybe you need to reread that Rasmussen poll. I think you got the numbers backwards. :shock:
 
A

Anonymous

Guest
Bump Time

President Obama is starting to get the usual post-convention bump. A new Gallup poll released yesterday gives him a 52% approval rating, the highest he has had since Osama bin Laden went for a postmortem swim in May 2011. The poll is a rolling average of the three days of the Democratic National Convention, so some people were polled on Tuesday, before Bill Clinton or Obama spoke. It is very likely that the average for tomorrow and Monday will be higher. The big question is where Obama's approval will be 2 weeks from now. Convention bounces typically are short lived.

Gallup also asked people who they were planning to vote for. The results are that Obama is leading Romney nationally 48% to 45%. Of course, the national polls are only a broad indication of what is going on in the key swing states.

Using the polls of the key swing states the electoral vote now sits at

Obama 332
Romney 206


Saturday, September 08, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
 

Tam

Well-known member
TSR said:
Tam maybe you need to reread that Rasmussen poll. I think you got the numbers backwards. :shock:

I quoted them :roll: So how did I get the numbers backward :?
 

Steve

Well-known member
Tam said:
TSR said:
Tam maybe you need to reread that Rasmussen poll. I think you got the numbers backwards. :shock:

I quoted them :roll: So how did I get the numbers backward :?

both Tam's and TSR's "quote and numbers" are correct.. the difference is in the details...

Tam's quote is for the 7th daily tracking poll,.. TSR's is for the 8th..
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Most of these polls are still giving the "numbers" advantage to the Dems.

But since 2008, there have been record numbers leaving the Dem party and record numbers registering as Repubs.

Most of the polls showed Scott Walker losing the recall in Wisc. too.
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Back in 1980 Gallup had Jimmy Carter up over Ronald Reagan by 4 points in mid to late September… And, Carter was up 8 points in October.
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/09/flashback-gallup-had-carter-up-4-points-over-ronald-reagan-in-september-1980/
 

Tam

Well-known member
hypocritexposer said:
Most of these polls are still giving the "numbers" advantage to the Dems.

But since 2008, there have been record numbers leaving the Dem party and record numbers registering as Repubs.

Most of the polls showed Scott Walker losing the recall in Wisc. too.

The key to Walkers Win was the turn out. Unions spent millions to knock him off and the Republicans still won as it was those that supported Walker and what he was doing to pull Wisconsin back into reality that turned out to vote. Republicans, Independents and non union Democrats that saw Walker was on the right track to cut the States deficit/debt. Those that the polls said supported the Unions didn't turn out in the numbers the Democrat ground machine had hoped they would.

What is going to lose this election for the Republicans and the Independents is lack of turn out. If they do not want another four years of Obama's budget, oh h*ll what am I talking about as Obama had NO BUDGET FOR THREE YEARS. If they do not want another four years of Obama's DEFICIT/NATIONAL DEBT BUSTING CRAP SPENDING of paying back his green energy and enviromentalist campaign donors they need to GET OFF THEIR COLLECTIVE AZZES AND GET OUT AND VOTE. As you can bet the give me give me give me Democrat voters will be out in full force protecting their Democrat provided meal tickets paid for by TAX PAYER THAT WORK FOR A LIVING.
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Tam said:
hypocritexposer said:
Most of these polls are still giving the "numbers" advantage to the Dems.

But since 2008, there have been record numbers leaving the Dem party and record numbers registering as Repubs.

Most of the polls showed Scott Walker losing the recall in Wisc. too.

The key to Walkers Win was the turn out. Unions spent millions to knock him off and the Republicans still won as it was those that supported Walker and what he was doing to pull Wisconsin back into reality that turned out to vote. Republicans, Independents and non union Democrats that saw Walker was on the right track to cut the States deficit/debt. Those that the polls said supported the Unions didn't turn out in the numbers the Democrat ground machine had hoped they would.

What is going to lose this election for the Republicans and the Independents is lack of turn out. If they do not want another four years of Obama's budget, oh h*ll what am I talking about as Obama had NO BUDGET FOR THREE YEARS. If they do not want another four years of Obama's DEFICIT/NATIONAL DEBT BUSTING CRAP SPENDING of paying back his green energy and enviromentalist campaign donors they need to GET OFF THEIR COLLECTIVE AZZES AND GET OUT AND VOTE. As you can bet the give me give me give me Democrat voters will be out in full force protecting their Democrat provided meal tickets paid for by TAX PAYER THAT WORK FOR A LIVING.


I disagree about the reason polls are not getting it right.

They are still considering the "gap" between Dems. and Repus. an advantage for Dems. And then they rely on Ind. to be for Dems. by the same %.

If the pop. was 50/50 Dem. vs Repub. then turnout would matter more than it does when 60% are Repub. and 40% are Dem.


enthusiasm still matters and that's why I think, without the cheating that the Dems. usually conduct, 2012 will be a blowout for Romney.
 

Tam

Well-known member
hypocritexposer said:
Tam said:
hypocritexposer said:
Most of these polls are still giving the "numbers" advantage to the Dems.

But since 2008, there have been record numbers leaving the Dem party and record numbers registering as Repubs.

Most of the polls showed Scott Walker losing the recall in Wisc. too.

The key to Walkers Win was the turn out. Unions spent millions to knock him off and the Republicans still won as it was those that supported Walker and what he was doing to pull Wisconsin back into reality that turned out to vote. Republicans, Independents and non union Democrats that saw Walker was on the right track to cut the States deficit/debt. Those that the polls said supported the Unions didn't turn out in the numbers the Democrat ground machine had hoped they would.

What is going to lose this election for the Republicans and the Independents is lack of turn out. If they do not want another four years of Obama's budget, oh h*ll what am I talking about as Obama had NO BUDGET FOR THREE YEARS. If they do not want another four years of Obama's DEFICIT/NATIONAL DEBT BUSTING CRAP SPENDING of paying back his green energy and enviromentalist campaign donors they need to GET OFF THEIR COLLECTIVE AZZES AND GET OUT AND VOTE. As you can bet the give me give me give me Democrat voters will be out in full force protecting their Democrat provided meal tickets paid for by TAX PAYER THAT WORK FOR A LIVING.


I disagree about the reason polls are not getting it right.

They are still considering the "gap" between Dems. and Repus. an advantage for Dems. And then they rely on Ind. to be for Dems. by the same %.

If the pop. was 50/50 Dem. vs Repub. then turnout would matter more than it does when 60% are Repub. and 40% are Dem.


enthusiasm still matters and that's why I think, without the cheating that the Dems. usually conduct, 2012 will be a blowout for Romney.

I pray you are right as if not the US IS DOOMED.
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Tam said:
I pray you are right as if not the US IS DOOMED.


The US population has been so dumbed down they will "like" the musical artist that everyone else likes, so they are not seen as NOT being part of the group.

So if the liberally biased media and polls tell you who the majority like, they are hoping you will also vote for them.


And yes, hopefully enough people see through it.


When you also tell people they are "racist" if they don't do something, they will do what you want in public, but follow their heart in private.

Voting booths are private, polls are somewhat public.

But the dumbing down of the American citizens has come to a point that it is a 50/50 guess.

I hope they see through the smoke and mirrors.
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
The Gallup seven day tracking poll of the presidential race released today shows Mitt Romney behind President Obama by a 49 percent to 44 margin. The seven day tracking poll of 3050 registered voters, that has a margin of error of 2.0 percent, samples Democrats by about a 8 percent margin based on calculations from the reported data. If the data is properly weighted for the partisan makeup of the electorate, the data from this poll unskewed would show a Romney lead of 49 percent to 44. By skewing the poll, it gives Obama a five point lead instead of showing Romney leading by the same total.

The sampling used by Gallup differs with the partisan data measured from hundreds of thousands of voters by Rasmussen Reports, which measures the partisan percentages at 37.6 percent Republicans, 33.3 percent Democrats and 29.2 percent independents. This indicates a degree of over-sampling of Democrats by eight percent, a plus four margin for Democrats as opposed to the plus four margin of Republicans among the likely voting electorate.

The Gallup tracking poll has Democrats favoring Obama by a 90 percent to seven percent margin while Republicans surveyed in the poll favor Romney by a 91 percent to six percent margin. ARG found independent voters to support Romney by a 43 percent to 42 percent edge.

If this data is weighted for the appropriate percentage of Republicans, Democrats and independents as shown by the Rasmussen data, the survey indicates a far larger and growing lead for Mitt Romney. Analysis of the data by those criteria would lead to a result showing Romney leading with a 49 percent to 44 percent margin over President Obama. That is exactly the opposite of what was officially reported earlier today by Gallup.

The significance of this is, somewhere along the way the weighting and sampling used by Gallup appears to have changed. The polling output resulting from this change demonstrates an apparent change that may not have happened at all, resulting in the showing of a Barack Obama post-convention “bounce” much larger than what might have actually occurred.

The latest Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking poll of the presidential race released today shows Obama at 50 percent to Romney at 45 percent. While Rasmussen releases the internals only to paid Platinum members, calculations from this data would require that either Obama has taken a lead of six to 10 points among independents or that this survey over-samples Democrats to produce a five point edge for Obama. It would be highly unlikely for a Rasmussen survey to match the Gallup poll that is skewed, at the same time, and not be somewhat skewed itself.

The Gallup poll is not the only such poll recently to be skewed by over-sampling Democrats to skew the results in favor of Barack Obama. Earlier this week, the latest CNN/ORC poll was similarly skewed. Last month on the Fox News segment “Campaign Insiders” today, Democratic pollsters Pat Caddell and Doug Schoen both confirmed their belief that major polls are skewed in favor of the Democrats by over-sampling of Democratic voters when the surveys are conducted.
http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-five-percent-lead-by-unskewed-gallup-poll-data
 
A

Anonymous

Guest
Poll: Obama gets Dem convention bounce, up 6 points over Romney


By Jonathan Easley - 09/10/12 04:32 PM ET
A new poll released Monday confirms President Obama is enjoying a sustained bounce after last week’s Democratic National Convention.


Obama takes 52 percent support among registered voters over Mitt Romney at 46, according to the latest CNN-ORC poll. Polling began for the survey on Friday, a day after the completion of the convention in Charlotte, N.C.


The new figures represent a strong gain for the president. Obama and Romney were tied at 48 percent in the previous CNN-ORC survey, which concluded polling a day before the Republican National Convention.


Monday, September 10, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

This is the president’s biggest lead over Romney among Likely Voters since March 17.

Both Rasmussen and the CNN-ORC polls shows about the same numbers- Romney is behind....

And he is falling in the key vote states which is really lowering his projected electoral college vote:


Sept. 10, 2012 Electoral college

Obama 347
Romney 191
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Oldtimer said:
Both Rasmussen and the CNN-ORC polls shows about the same numbers- Romney is behind....

And he is falling in the key vote states which is really lowering his projected electoral college vote:


Sept. 10, 2012 Electoral college

Obama 347
Romney 191


September 10, 2012 CNN: Obama 52% Romney 46%, but... Christian Heinze A new CNN poll of likely voters confirms a Barack Obama convention bounce, as he now leads Mitt Romney, 52%-46%. But here's a very curious internal. Romney leads among independents, 54%-40%. That's a blowout number. Both candidates get 96%-97% of their respective parties, so this means that this sample must have leaned Democratic big-time. And of course, CNN didn't release the sampling breakdown.

http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/09/cnn-obama-52-romney-46.html
 

ranch hand

Well-known member
Wait untiil the debates, that is if they ask tough questions like the economy and national security questions. But probley will be what is a parr, birdie and eagle and a triple bogey (high for Obama).
 
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