I would say there is possibility of growth by 3rd or 4th quarter. Recession usually come out in this time frame, history has shown that.
When people cut back and growth contracts for so long eventually there will need to be some growth. First off you are growing from a new low that was set. And at a certain point people can no longer put off them new shoes, or that washer that is limping by. Cars wear out tires are as bald as they can be driven on and it is time for the nation to have to spend to stock the shelves of the things they been doing with out. That is one reason most all Recession have a very similar time frame before you see growth.
Sustaining growth will be a whole other story, many times you will see sideways movement through out times like these. Example everyone is going out and buying a new car to get their welfare money, but does that mean that next year that growth will continue or will it go down or move sideways since so many bought new cars in 09?
Economics is more complicated than just picking at the moment headlines. Most things Obama is doing now will affect us more in 2019 than it is right now good or bad!