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GW sets Another Negative Record

A

Anonymous

Guest
Currently, 69 percent of Americans disapprove of the way President Bush is doing his job. That is the highest disapproval rating since Gallup began polling 70 years ago -- higher than Lyndon Johnson during the Vietnam War, Richard Nixon during Watergate, or Jimmy Carter during the Iran hostage crisis.

Today, notes polling expert Karlyn Bowman of the American Enterprise Institute, more Americans think the country is on the wrong track than at any time since the late 1970s -- which set the stage for the Republican resurgence of 1980, led by Ronald Reagan. The sentiment is even more negative now than it was in 1992, when the GOP lost the White House. Some 63 percent see the Iraq war as a mistake.

Bush's troubles have sent voters fleeing from his party. In 2004, 47 percent of Americans leaned toward the Democratic Party, with 44 percent leaning Republican -- a 3-point difference. Today, it's 51 to 38 in favor of the Democrats -- a gap of 13 percentage points.
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Richard Norton Smith, a historian who has run the presidential libraries of Republicans Herbert Hoover, Dwight Eisenhower, Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan, is pessimistic about the party's prospects. He thinks the correct analogy is not 1988 but 1920 or 1952 -- when an unpopular war and an equally unpopular president spelled doom for the party in the White House. He thinks 2008 is shaping up not only as a narrow defeat for the GOP but a decisive "repudiation."
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The fallout is already apparent. In recent months, Republicans have lost two special elections to fill seats that had been GOP strongholds. Those shocks prompted former House Speaker Newt Gingrich to warn that come November, his party faces the prospect of "a real disaster."

The oddsmakers say the betting folks are putting their money on Obama right now....

Current Odds for who will be next President

Obama 8/11
McCain 11/8
Clinton 9 to 1
Gore 33 to 1
Paul 150 to 1
 

hopalong

Well-known member
Depends on the odds maker.
Obama even
2-3
8-7

McCain 3-2
5-4
20-21

Clinton 8-11
6-1
9-1

As well as a host of other odds.
 

per

Well-known member
2 to 1 odds that the odds makers are wrong. When there is only one dem the odds of the other picking up those votes are good. When in the booth a dem is a dem and that is where the vote will likely go. Odds are. :wink:
 

Texan

Well-known member
per said:
2 to 1 odds that the odds makers are wrong. When there is only one dem the odds of the other picking up those votes are good. When in the booth a dem is a dem and that is where the vote will likely go. Odds are. :wink:
Don't bet on it. Count on a good many of the old yellow-dog Democrats sitting this one out if Obama is the candidate. In fact, some of them will even vote for McCain.

There will be a lot of places where the down-ticket candidates on the Dem side will be plenty worried if Obama is their party's choice. In year's past, they could always count on straight-ticket voters putting them in along with a popular presidential candidate.

What you need to bet on is that there are a lot of places where that ain't gonna happen this time. :lol:
 
A

Anonymous

Guest
per said:
When in the booth a dem is a dem and that is where the vote will likely go. Odds are. :wink:

My odds are all the center of average....

Yep--That is pretty much what the oddsmakers are saying...

If you just bet Democrat the odds are 8/15- meaning you have to put up $15 to win $8...
Repubs are 11/8 meaning you put up $8- Repub wins you collect $11
Independents odds are now 100 to 1--a $1 bet could win you $100 if one of the Independents runs and wins....

Obama who will end up being the Dem candidate (unless Hillary can find James Earl Ray's son :shock: ) is picked to win....
If you bet $11 on Obama and he wins- you pick up $8

McCain who is the Repub candidate (if he doesn't get senility before) is picked second.....
If you bet $8 on McCain and he wins you pick up $11

Hillary as a longer shot will pay off $9 for just a $1 bet....

Some folks still think it will be a brokered convention- with Gore coming out on top- and a $1 bet on him will pay off $33....

On the futures charts-another betting system (just sounds better "playing the futures")- Obama is way out in the lead.....
 
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