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Oil Drops To $68.32

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Mike

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If it stays at this price, the Bakken will shut down soon.

The only thing that will save them is the Keystone pipeline being built to lower transport costs.

But if the price continues to go lower at this rate, ands stays lower, nothing will help.
 
http://business.financialpost.com/2014/12/01/here-are-the-breakeven-oil-prices-for-every-drilling-project-in-the-world/

most interesting...is "return on net cumulative cost by region"
 
is this price so much about break even as it is about how much oil revenue is needed to fund the economy...

By the look of it oil dependent states are screwed by the low prices in the long run if the low prices can be sustained...
 
Cutting our import/export deficit is big deal. We can't continue to spend $Billions$ with other countries in hopes that they'll spend it with us eventually.
 
Mike said:
Cutting our import/export deficit is big deal. We can't continue to spend $Billions$ with other countries in hopes that they'll spend it with us eventually.

Some countries have never paid back what they owe us either.
America is stupid in so many ways. Still the best country to live in,
flaws and all. Continuing on as in the past is a huge mistake.
I read where a financial guru said that you can't get out of debt spending
money like you did when you got into debt. Sound common-sense advice
for humans and countries.
 
It seems to me the Saudi's and OPEC have taken a calculated risk that they can break some of the US oil companies, especially the ones in the Dakotas and the oil sand production. I'm sure this new US production has hurt them a lot and could hurt them even more if we ever get the pipeline built. They are simply betting they can last longer than we can and then when our drilling is shut down they can raise the price to whatever they want. It's a big gamble, I think, but as stupid as the US is it just might work. If we could get close to self sufficient we would not need the OPEC oil and that worries them. If, as I have read, Russia gets 2/3 of their country's income from oil and gas sales these low prices could be devastating to them. Also the Venezuela and the Middle East. Seems to me this could put the US in a very good position by having our own oil and not spending our money with people who hate us. Also it would put a stop to a lot of the fighting in the Middle East if they could not afford to fight. Would also weaken Russia a lot. If the US would play their cards right it seems to me it could be a real benefit to the US. Just my 2 cents.
 
Red Barn Angus said:
It seems to me the Saudi's and OPEC have taken a calculated risk that they can break some of the US oil companies, especially the ones in the Dakotas and the oil sand production. I'm sure this new US production has hurt them a lot and could hurt them even more if we ever get the pipeline built. They are simply betting they can last longer than we can and then when our drilling is shut down they can raise the price to whatever they want. It's a big gamble, I think, but as stupid as the US is it just might work. If we could get close to self sufficient we would not need the OPEC oil and that worries them. If, as I have read, Russia gets 2/3 of their country's income from oil and gas sales these low prices could be devastating to them. Also the Venezuela and the Middle East. Seems to me this could put the US in a very good position by having our own oil and not spending our money with people who hate us. Also it would put a stop to a lot of the fighting in the Middle East if they could not afford to fight. Would also weaken Russia a lot. If the US would play their cards right it seems to me it could be a real benefit to the US. Just my 2 cents.

I think you made some REALLY GOOD POINTS!
The key word being 'if'...it seems like it's been a really long time since the US played their cards right. :?
 
If the US would play their cards right it seems to me it could be a real benefit to the US. Just my 2 cents.

only problem with that IF is that we have a bunch of jokers in the Whitehouse

and their best game is go fish and solitaire.

solitaire works well for them as they cheat alot...

and we know liberals are great at picking another's cards...
 
$68/ oil on the board translates to $51 with the basis. Drilling has slowed,

These lower oil prices will hurt Russia a lot, and Isis and Iran well about anyone except the Saudies. I think the reduced prices are predatory competition by OPEC, as the price is manipulated to just below cost of new production.


The Saudies did this same thing in the 90s and pushed oil below $10/bbl. the perv just went along saying look at how good my economy is going. The 5$ gas a few years later was the result of atrophied domestic production.
 
Brad S said:
$68/ oil on the board translates to $51 with the basis. Drilling has slowed,

These lower oil prices will hurt Russia a lot, and Isis and Iran well about anyone except the Saudies. I think the reduced prices are predatory competition by OPEC, as the price is manipulated to just below cost of new production.


The Saudies did this same thing in the 90s and pushed oil below $10/bbl. the perv just went along saying look at how good my economy is going. The 5$ gas a few years later was the result of atrophied domestic production.

and I wouldn't put it past obama to be negotiating with OPEC, in secret, to hurt Russia, all the while stating that lower gas prices will be a $trillion dollar stimulus for the United States.

A perfect time for the US to export...if only they had that pipeline to the Gulf.
 
right now, the thing to do, would be for North America to flood the market and break OPEC's control, but...unfortunately we don't have the infrastructure in place.
 
The Saudi's would make a profit on oil if it were $5.00 per barrel. Hard to compete with that spread.......
 
Mike said:
The Saudi's would make a profit on oil if it were $5.00 per barrel. Hard to compete with that spread.......

They may profit, but they would not be able to provide for their citizens. The Royal family would be overthrown. The socialist/fascist way of government in the middle east, and all other oil states, would be destroyed...

...the North American economy would be stimulated. North America would be self sufficient and control the market.

OPEC would soon "break" and lower production, to raise the price.

But, that is all "wishful" thinking, because we have not positioned ourselves to do so. We are at the mercy of the "global market" instead of controlling it.

But, I will say...the cure to low oil prices, is low oil prices. Drilling will slowdown, exploration will slow and $$ spent on new tech. will slow. Demand will continue to increase, while supply dwindles.

Good time to buy.
 
In the barber shop in Plentywood MT today. Heard a north western ND company laid off over 40 workers and declared bankruptcy.

Didn't OT say it couldn't or wouldn't happen? :roll:
 
Big Muddy rancher said:
In the barber shop in Plentywood MT today. Heard a north western ND company laid off over 40 workers and declared bankruptcy.

Didn't OT say it couldn't or wouldn't happen? :roll:

While we have seen many oil booms and crashes in AB/SK. I'm pretty sure OT doesn't even realize that any "recovery" in the US has been built on oil.

He thought it was "local", even if it was in ND :lol:

In all his advocating of "shovel ready jobs", he was more interested in promoting turtle underpasses and bankrupt windmill companies to see what was coming down the pipeline...those damn NE nimbys will be his scapegoat, while forgetting that it was his alternative energy President that screwed the pooch, when it came to the immediate future and prolonged stability.

Where's the thread where he was demonizing big oil companies and I was educating him on the costs of exploration and cheaper costs of production...
 
They may profit, but they would not be able to provide for their citizens. The Royal family would be overthrown. The socialist/fascist way of government in the middle east, and all other oil states, would be destroyed...

...the North American economy would be stimulated. North America would be self sufficient and control the market.

OPEC would soon "break" and lower production, to raise the price.

upheaval in the countries themselves may lead to lower production..

but soon after they rebel leaders will sell as much oil as they can produce and sell it to anyone at any cost...

And then starting sometime in the summer it just shot up and got up to about a million barrels a day by the end of October. That is a staggering growth," he said. "I don't know that I've ever seen growth from one country that fast to be honest. That was kind of like the last tipping point in the market that pushed it to its current decline because the market was just not prepared to absorb all that Libyan oil."

Kingston said Libyan oil hit the market when crude was already plentiful -- so it was difficult to get the market share that Libya wanted.

Despite the fighting, no company appears unwilling to deal with the Libyans.


Libya's production has risen even as violence and political disputes have left the country under the rule of two competing administrations: the internationally recognized government of Abdulla al-Theni and the Islamist-led cabinet of Omar al-Hassi. Both authorities are seeking to keep oil output stable as various militias battle for influence.

"It is almost beyond me that the Libyans managed to maintain production, considering that there is no government, and with all these militias,"

Jihadias need cash.. and the world needs cheap energy.. especially China...
 
hypocritexposer said:
Brad S said:
$68/ oil on the board translates to $51 with the basis. Drilling has slowed,

These lower oil prices will hurt Russia a lot, and Isis and Iran well about anyone except the Saudies. I think the reduced prices are predatory competition by OPEC, as the price is manipulated to just below cost of new production.


The Saudies did this same thing in the 90s and pushed oil below $10/bbl. the perv just went along saying look at how good my economy is going. The 5$ gas a few years later was the result of atrophied domestic production.

and I wouldn't put it past obama to be negotiating with OPEC, in secret, to hurt Russia, all the while stating that lower gas prices will be a $trillion dollar stimulus for the United States.

A perfect time for the US to export...if only they had that pipeline to the Gulf.

" perfect time for the US to export...if only they had that pipeline to the Gulf.[/"

Yes indeedy. When you got a finite supply of a commodity and it's at a historical low, THAT'S exactly when you want to export a bunch of it.


What branch of govt do you work for or leach off of?

fyi--"that pipeline to the gulf....." would be largely tar sand/bakken oil, neither works at current prices.

Being involved in 'new pool/new discovery' play, I am reminded once again of how much rabbit some investors have in them.

These cyclical shakeouts are good---everybody we deal with thinks the golden finger of God has touched them when they get a call from oilfield. Restores some reality and shakes out some that shouldn't be there. But no joy short term.

ps---hippo, thanks for quick reminder on why I havn't wasted much time on reading morons lately.
 
ps---hippo, thanks for quick reminder on why I havn't wasted much time on reading morons lately.[/quote]

oldtimer was banned, you haven't been posting,,kolo just hits and runs so the morons have been quiet :wink: :wink:
 

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