Ominous Numbers for Obama

[hypocritexposer]

In seven of the 13 races, the incumbent won. In six out of those seven, the VEWB was flat or positive. In one race, the VEWB was slightly negative, and the incumbent also won (Dwight Eisenhower in '56).

According to the data, then, a flat-to-positive index is virtually required for an incumbent to win. Also, no one has ever won with an index as negative as Obama's is now. But a positive index doesn't guarantee victory. In the six of 13 races the incumbent lost, the VEWB was negative in three but positive in the others.

http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748703786004577221441309275760.html?mod=BOL_hpp_mag

 

[Steve]

here is another number that will sink Obama

 

[TSR]

And yet his closest competitor Romney is behind by 5.5 points. Also looking at the graph and considering Congressional ratings, could we conclude none of the Congress will get reelected???

 

[Larrry]

And yet his closest competitor Romney is behind by 5.5 points. Also looking at the graph and considering Congressional ratings, could we conclude none of the Congress will get reelected???

Now that is quite the leap. Surely you know that the only ones who vote on Congress are those in their district..
5.5%. is quite amazing since so many people aren't even watching the race and that obama has the mainstream media heading up his campaign.

 

[hypocritexposer]

And yet his closest competitor Romney is behind by 5.5 points. Also looking at the graph and considering Congressional ratings, could we conclude none of the Congress will get reelected???

and contrast it with national polling showing Obama mostly in the lead in the mid to high 40's it becomes hard to reach any other conclusion than that the result of an election held today would be an election where Obama wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College.


http://ranchers.net/forum/viewtopic.php?p=558253#558253