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Repubs now lead in 10 Senate races held by Dems.

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
North Dakota = Republican + 43%

Arkansas = Republican + 18%

Indiana = Republican + 18%

Wisconsin = Republican + 12%

Pennsylvania = Republican + 7%

Colorado = Republican + 5%

West Virginia = Republican + 5%

Illinois = Republican + 4%

Nevada = Republican + 3%

Washington = Republican + 1%


And, in Connecticut, Linda McMahon is hot on the heels of Richard Blumenthal. In New York State, the last published poll had Republican Joe DioGuardi one point behind appointed Senator Kristen Gillibrand, but that poll is now two weeks old. In Delaware, the last poll is two weeks old and showed Democrat Coons way ahead but it may well have closed since.

The only piece of bad news is that Fiorini is 3 points behind Boxer, but Barbara is still under 50% of the vote.

http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/bulletin-republicans-now-poised-to-take-senate-majority/
 

Tam

Well-known member
Shock Prediction: GOP to Take House, Maybe Senate in 2010 Election
UVA's Larry Sabato also sees Republicans gaining eight governorships in his crystal ball
By Paul Bedard

Posted: September 2, 2010

Typically cautious Larry Sabato, head of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, is rocking the political world with a new "Crystal Ball" prediction: The GOP will win the House, making Ohio's John Boehner speaker, might get a 50-50 split in the Senate, and will pick up some eight new governors.


"2010 was always going to be a Republican year, in the midterm tradition," Sabato said in his latest prediction, issued Thursday. "But conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer. The economy appears rotten, with little chance of a substantial comeback by November 2nd. Unemployment is very high, income growth sluggish, and public confidence quite low. The Democrats' self-proclaimed 'Recovery Summer' has become a term of derision, and to most voters—fair or not—it seems that President Obama has over-promised and under-delivered."

Sabato on House elections: "Given what we can see at this moment, Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net. This is a 'net' number since the GOP will probably lose several of its own congressional districts in Delaware, Hawaii, and Louisiana. This estimate, which may be raised or lowered by Election Day, is based on a careful district-by-district analysis, plus electoral modeling based on trends in President Obama's Gallup job approval rating and the Democratic-versus-Republican congressional generic ballot. If anything, we have been conservative in estimating the probable GOP House gains, if the election were being held today."

Sabato on the Senate: "In the Senate, we now believe the GOP will do a bit better than our long-time prediction of +7 seats. Republicans have an outside shot at winning full control (+10), but are more likely to end up with +8 (or maybe +9, at which point it will be interesting to see how senators such as Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and others react). GOP leaders themselves did not believe such a result was truly possible just a few months ago. If the Republican wave on November 2 is as large as some polls are suggesting it may be, then the surprise on election night could be a full GOP takeover. Since World War II, the House of Representatives has flipped parties on six occasions (1946, 1948, 1952, 1954, 1994, and 2006). Every time, the Senate flipped too, even when it had not been predicted to do so. These few examples do not create an iron law of politics, but they do suggest an electoral tendency."

And in case you're wondering, Sabato has a near flawless record of accurate predictions.
 

Tam

Well-known member
Rasmussen: Angle leads Reid 50/46Share69posted at 12:15 pm on October 7, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
printer-friendly Rasmussen joins a series of fresh polls showing renewed momentum in the Senate race in Nevada for challenger Sharron Angle over incumbent Harry Reid. Two weeks ago, Reid held a one-point edge in a virtual tie, 48/47. Today, Angle nearly outpaces the margin of error and reaches the majority level at 50/46:
Republican challenger Sharron Angle has now moved to a four-point lead over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada’s bare-knuckles U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Angle hitting the 50% mark for the first time since mid-August, while Reid earns 46% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) more are undecided.
 

Lonecowboy

Well-known member
Tam said:
Rasmussen: Angle leads Reid 50/46Share69posted at 12:15 pm on October 7, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
printer-friendly Rasmussen joins a series of fresh polls showing renewed momentum in the Senate race in Nevada for challenger Sharron Angle over incumbent Harry Reid. Two weeks ago, Reid held a one-point edge in a virtual tie, 48/47. Today, Angle nearly outpaces the margin of error and reaches the majority level at 50/46:
Republican challenger Sharron Angle has now moved to a four-point lead over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada’s bare-knuckles U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Angle hitting the 50% mark for the first time since mid-August, while Reid earns 46% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) more are undecided.

That doesn't take into account Republicans are way more likely to actually show up and vote either does it?
of course it probably doesn't take into account dead dems voting (2 or 3 times) either so it probably all equals out.
 

hypocritexposer

Well-known member
Lonecowboy said:
Tam said:
Rasmussen: Angle leads Reid 50/46Share69posted at 12:15 pm on October 7, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
printer-friendly Rasmussen joins a series of fresh polls showing renewed momentum in the Senate race in Nevada for challenger Sharron Angle over incumbent Harry Reid. Two weeks ago, Reid held a one-point edge in a virtual tie, 48/47. Today, Angle nearly outpaces the margin of error and reaches the majority level at 50/46:
Republican challenger Sharron Angle has now moved to a four-point lead over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada’s bare-knuckles U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Angle hitting the 50% mark for the first time since mid-August, while Reid earns 46% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) more are undecided.

That doesn't take into account Republicans are way more likely to actually show up and vote either does it?
of course it probably doesn't take into account dead dems voting (2 or 3 times) either so it probably all equals out.


Congress is a given, even the Dems. don't argue with that. And as far as the Senate goes, it would probably be better if it was close, without the Republicans taking a majority.

Congress is enough to put the brakes on the Dem. agenda, without taking the blame for the the affects of the "fundamental change" that has happened in the last 2 years. Let a Dem. Senate take some of the heat for another 2 years.

Then in 2012, clobber the Dems. and get rid of the rest of the RINOs, in both Houses and the WH. In 2014, kick out the Tea Partiers that did not live up to their Pledge.
 
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