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The Ice Age Cometh: Experts Warn of Global Cooling

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The Ice Age Cometh: Experts Warn of Global Cooling
'Lou Dobbs Tonight' segment dismisses manmade global warming theory -- 'effects of greenhouse gas have a small impact on climate change.'

By Jeff Poor

If you're fortunate enough to have it – don't sell that oceanfront property for fear that the icecaps will melt, and rising seas swamping your property. A segment on CNN's Jan. 13 "Lou Dobbs Tonight" explored the possibility that earth isn't warming, but is, in fact, cooling.



Dobbs cited National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data dating back to 1880 which showed a spike in mean temperature over land and ocean. However, Joseph D'Aleo, the executive director of International Climate and Environmental Change Assessment Project (ICECAP) questioned that data by comparing it to more modern reliable satellite data, when ask if he "quibbled" with the NOAA data's representation.



"Yes, I do," D'Aleo replied. "In fact, if you look at the satellite data, which is the most reliable data, the best coverage of the globe – 2008 was the 14th coldest in 30 years. That doesn't jibe with the tenth warmest in 159 years in the Hadley data set or 113 or 114 years in the NOAA set."



D'Aleo's organization, ICECAP, is one of 33 groups co-sponsoring The Heartland Institute's 2009 International Conference on Climate Change in New York City March 8-10. D'Aleo also appeared on Dobbs' program on Jan. 5 and said that a lot of the research promoting the theory of anthropogenic or manmade climate change is too short-sighted.



According to D'Aleo, the spike in NOAA climate data is a result of location changes where the data is recorded. He contended that with the proportional increase of urban data used versus rural data, the overall effect was a warming trend.



"Those global data sets are contaminated by the fact that two-third of the globe's stations dropped out in 1990," D'Aleo added. "Most of them rural and they performed no urban adjustment. And, Lou, you know, your people in your studio know that if they live in the suburbs of New York City, it's a lot colder in rural areas than it is in the city. Now we have more urban effect in those numbers reflecting, that show up in that enhanced or exaggerated warming in the global data set."



Another factor contributing to the global cooling period is the decline in sunspot activity according to Jay Lehr, a senior fellow and science director of The Heartland Institute.



" think more importantly it is to look at the sun's output, and in recent years, we've seen very, very low sunspot activity, and we are definitely – in my mind – not only in a cooling period, we're going to be staying in it for a couple decades," Lehr said.



Lehr said the cooling trend was a positive and hoped it would have and impact on legislators to resist the temptation to pass and sort of climate change regulation that could further hurt the U.S. economy.



"And I see it as a major advantage, although I think we will be able to adapt to it, I'm hopeful that this change in the sun's output will put some common sense into the legislature – not to pass any dramatic cap-and-trade or carbon tax legislation that will set us in a far deeper economic hole," Lehr added. "I believe Mr. Obama and his economic team are well placed to dig us out of this recession in the next 18 months to two years. But, I think if we pass any dramatic legislation to reduce greenhouse gases, the recession is going to last quite a few more years and we'll come out of it with a lower standard of living as a result on very tenuous scientific grounds."



Lehr pointed out the "silliness" of not including the sun's impact on the earth's climate – a factor often neglected by many of the global climate change alarmist. He also cited CNN meteorologist Chad Myers, who said the theory of manmade global warming was "arrogant" on Dec. 18, 2008.



"It just seems silly to not recognize that the earth's climate is driven by the sun," Lehr said. "Your Chad Myers about a month ago pointed out it's really arrogant for mankind to think he controls the climate or the universe. Only 4 percent of our greenhouse gas is carbon dioxide. Ninety percent is water vapor which we have no impact over."



Lehr told Dobbs it would be a mistake to enact policy that was intended to reduce the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, as Obama's Secretary of State designate Hillary Clinton suggested to the Senate Foreign Relations committee on Jan. 13 in her confirmation hearing that the incoming Obama administration intended to do.



"And, if we were to try to reduce greenhouse gases with China and India controlling way more than we do and they have boldly said they are not going to cripple their economy by following suit, our impact would have no change in temperature at all," Lehr added. "In Europe they started carbon cap and trade in 2005. They've had no reduction in greenhouse gases, but a 5 percent to 10 percent increase in the [cost of] standard of living. We don't want to go that route."
 
Global temperatures have cooled during the past 12 months. During 2008 and 2009 the first stage of global cooling will cool the world's temperatures to those observed during the years from the 1940s through the 1970s. By the year 2023 global climate will become similar to the colder temperatures experienced during the 1800s.

Cold Reception

Tuesday we told you about several areas around the planet experiencing record cold and snowpack — in the face of all the predictions of global warming.

Now there is word that all four major global temperature tracking outlets have released data showing that temperatures have dropped significantly over the last year. California meteorologist Anthony Watts says the amount of cooling ranges from 65-hundredths of a degree Centigrade to 75-hundreds of a degree.

That is said to be a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. It is reportedly the single fastest temperature change ever recorded — up or down.

Some scientists contend the cooling is the result of reduced solar activity —Still little or no sunspots-- which they say is a larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases.

Should start seeing shorter growing seasons. Iowa State reports that the GDD is below average for the start of 09 season.
 
Dang, I could be in trouble up here. I guess I can forget about selling my haying equipment because of the soon to come year 'round grass :?
 
Eyeopener You can see how Gore lost his global warming !

http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c01156f7addf3970c-pi

The Sun has retreated to a peaceful slumber. Only four weeks after behemoth sunspot 1024 amazed onlookers, solar minimum has never seemed deeper. The sun's 77% rate of spotlessness in 2009 confirms the ongoing minimum as a century class event.
 
NASA Study Acknowledges Solar Cycle, Not Man, Responsible for Past Warming
Michael Andrews - June 4, 2009 9:37 AM

Report indicates solar cycle has been impacting Earth since the Industrial Revolution

Some researchers believe that the solar cycle influences global climate changes. They attribute recent warming trends to cyclic variation. Skeptics, though, argue that there's little hard evidence of a solar hand in recent climate changes.

Now, a new research report from a surprising source may help to lay this skepticism to rest. A study from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland looking at climate data over the past century has concluded that solar variation has made a significant impact on the Earth's climate. The report concludes that evidence for climate changes based on solar radiation can be traced back as far as the Industrial Revolution.

Past research has shown that the sun goes through eleven year cycles. At the cycle's peak, solar activity occurring near sunspots is particularly intense, basking the Earth in solar heat. According to Robert Cahalan, a climatologist at the Goddard Space Flight Center, "Right now, we are in between major ice ages, in a period that has been called the Holocene."

11265_sunspot_numbers.png

http://www.dailytech.com/NASA+Study+Acknowledges+Solar+Cycle+Not+Man+Responsible+for+Past+Warming/article15310.htm
 
Global Warming?...........Global Cooling?

You scientist had better get together and decide one way or another.

Only Elected Politicians are allowed to talk out both sides of their mouth.

I call it the Chicken Little Syndrome. All theory, No facts, Insufficient Data.

Let me know when the sky finally hits the ground.
 
I posted the new NASA data to discount those that claim man-made global warming (mainly those that would tax through cap and trade)

Their new data, (now that they take the model back a little further), shows the temperature change is due to sun spot activity. And likely to "cool" over the next couple of years, and then warm again.

No need for alarm, the Earth has been going through these cycles for eons.

So, can Al Gore shut-up now, and leave our incomes alone?
 
Canada frosts the most widespread in recent memory
Tue Jun 9, 2009 1:54pm EDT


WINNIPEG, Manitoba (Reuters) - The multiple frosts that have blanketed Western Canada in the last week are the most widespread in the top canola-growing province of Saskatchewan in at least five years, the Canola Council of Canada said on Tuesday.

Two overnight frosts last week have already resulted in some Saskatchewan farmers reseeding their canola, a Canadian variant of rapeseed, said Jim Bessel, senior agronomy specialist in the province for the industry group Canola Council.

Other farmers are waiting to see growth signs that would suggest their canola plants have survived the frost, which lasted for up to five hours at a stretch. That new growth is slow to appear with generally cool temperatures holding crop development behind schedule.

"We just don't see a lot of activity happening from a crop development perspective," Bessel said. "(The extent of frost damage) is a really difficult one to call right now ... It's very erratic."

In Manitoba, the frost is the worst in memory for its frequency and area covered, said Derwyn Hammond, the province's senior agronomy specialist for the Canola Council.

"Certainly (it's) the worst year I've seen," said Hammond, who has worked for the Canola Council for 15 years.

With deadlines for full canola crop insurance ranging between June 10 and 20 in Manitoba and Saskatchewan, Hammond said he expects most farmers will choose not to reseed.

Cool weather may have actually saved some of the new crop that was at such an early growing stage that it wasn't yet vulnerable to frost, said Doon Pauly, crop specialist for the government of the western province of Alberta.

"It's the equivalent to a frost in the second or third week of May," Pauly said. "That's the bright side."

The downside of the cool weather is that it has left crops in general well behind schedule, he said. The Alberta canola crop is two to three weeks behind development, Pauly said, while the Canadian Wheat Board estimated on Monday that Western Canada wheat and barley crops are at least 10 days behind.

Fields with frost damage can develop bare pockets or a thinned-down plant population that gives weeds more room to grow, said Pauly, adding that some Alberta areas reported frost as recently as Tuesday morning.

But despite frosts and cool weather, it's too early to say if canola yields will suffer, he said.

"Canola is so plastic. If the remainder of June we get good moisture and reasonable heat, the yields can recover."

(Editing by Marguerita Choy)

It's Going to be a short growing season ! Here comes the ice age !
 
Talk about a COLD July; Corn and Soys are Late

Cold snap threatens to set a record low
By The News-Gazette
Saturday, July 18, 2009 12:05 PM CDT

CHAMPAIGN – This weekend, you'll want to put away the swimsuit and find a sweatshirt.

Local weather records dating back a century or more could be in jeopardy because of an unusual mid-July cold snap.

During what normally is the warmest week of the year – with average high temperatures of 87 degrees or 86 degrees – weather forecasters are projecting low temperatures of around 50 degrees for the next three nights, and highs of no more than 73 degrees.

The record low for July 17 is 49 degrees, set in 1896.

The records most seriously threatened are for July 18 (50 degrees, set in 1920) and July 19 (also 50 degrees, set in 1909).

The National Weather Service is forecasting a low of 49 degrees tonight, which would break the record for either Saturday or Sunday.

On Friday night, a pool pass holder party that was to have been held at Sholem Pool in Champaign was canceled because of the cold weather.

Weather records are in jeopardy in other parts of central Illinois as well. In Decatur, the record lows for July 17, 18 and 19 are 50 degrees, 47 degrees and 48 degrees, respectively.

In Springfield, the record lows for July 17, 18 and 19 are 51 degrees, 51 degrees and 54 degrees, respectively.

One Springfield record almost certain to be broken is the coldest high for July 18. The record is 76 degrees, set in 1956. The National Weather Service is forecasting a high of 71 degrees in Springfield today.
 
Relentless cool summer across Canada has crops crying for heat, say farmers
By Jennifer Graham (CP) – 4 days ago

REGINA — Honey bees are normally, well, busy as bees at this time of year, but a relentless cool summer has taken the buzz out of honey and other crop production.

"The last week to 10 days it has been very unseasonably cold. We're normally looking at extracting honey right now and plants are just starting to produce nectar," says Calvin Parsons, president of the Saskatchewan Beekeepers board of directors.

"I would say we're maybe two weeks late starting to extract, so I don't know what's going to happen in August if this weather pattern continues."

Bee colonies need heat to develop and flowers need heat to flower and produce nectar. Without that nectar and pollen, the bees won't develop as well and less honey will hit store shelves.

It's not just Parsons and his colony in the central Saskatchewan community of Meskanaw that have been affected by the cool summer weather. Environment Canada senior climatologist David Phillips says the lack of heat is hurting farmers across the country.

"These are the dog days of summer right now," he says. "This is the time when we should be complaining about the heat and humidity and the question is where is the heat? It just has been totally lacking in June and July."

Phillips says what's unusual is that the cool weather isn't just affecting one region, it's having an impact on growing areas from Alberta to the Maritimes. Various growers have been affected by either too much - or too little - rain, but the weather has been consistently cool almost everywhere, and that has delayed crop growth.

In its preliminary crop forecast released in June, the Canadian Wheat Board said cold weather across the Prairies during the spring delayed planting and slowed crop growth. The board said that "without ideal growing conditions for the remainder of the crop year, below-average production is likely for Western Canada."

Saskatchewan Agriculture's weekly crop report released this week doesn't look any better. It says development for spring cereals, which includes wheat, oats and barley, is 75 per cent behind normal. Oilseeds, which includes canola, are 78 per cent behind normal. Some areas are much as three weeks behind.

In southwestern Ontario, the corn "should be up to your eyeballs," says Phillips - but it isn't yet.

"When I've driven across the countryside here in Ontario, one thing that you really notice is how low the corn is. We know the strawberries have been tiny and not very sweet and that season's about over," Phillips said in a phone interview from Toronto.

"It really is the fact that we've just had so much Canadian air and not enough heat, and the foodstuffs have not been growing feverishly as they should be now."

"Everything seems so stunted and late and small. It's there, but my gosh it's pathetic."
 
Almost had a Frost ! It's July 2009 Just Too Cold !!

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?blog=weathermatrix&partner=&pgUrl=/mtweb/content/weathermatrix/archives/2009/07/1000_low_temp_records_set_this_july.asp
 
Thought this was interesting.
www.weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=ir&hours=24

Look at the big low spinning. Talked to a weatherman this spring, he said to expect a 2 or 3 decade time period of cooler temps.

Where's the global warming when it is -30? :wink:
 
Chicago Sees Coldest July In 67 Years
Average Temperature Only 68.9 DegreesCHICAGO (CBS) ―
Emily Nunn

Record Cold July Means Shrinking Bills
(7/17/2009)
Have you left your air conditioner in the closet this summer, and worn long pants more often than shorts? If so, you may not be surprised to find out that Chicago is seeing its coldest July in more than 65 years.

The National Weather Service says 2009 has seen the coldest July since the official recording station was moved away from the lakefront in 1942. The average temperature this month in Chicago has been a mere 68.9 degrees.

Even in the years before 1942, when the National Weather Service recorded temperatures at the cooler lakefront, there are only three years that had colder Julys through the 26th.

There have also been far more days than usual with high temperatures less than 80 degrees this year. In 2009, there were 13 days where the temperature did not exceed 80 degrees. Only three Julys in the past 67 years have had more days in Chicago with highs less than 80 – there were 18 such days in 1992, and 14 in 1996 and 2000.

We have also failed to reach 90 degrees at any time this month.

But the good news is that homeowners this summer have been seeing a big break on their electric bills. Air conditioning usage, according to ComEd earlier this month, is way down from last year and has saved residents an average of $50 since June, compared with last year.

In addition to the mild weather, Com Ed's cost of power was also down 9 percent as of July 17, a savings passed on to you. Your natural gas price has been down even more, 27 percent. Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas estimate a typical home customer will pay $500 less this year than last year.

(© MMIX, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.)
 
Temp only got up to about 78 today- but about an hour ago a front moved in out of Saskatchewan- and its been drizzling since- and the temp is down to 55 degrees...
 
Talk about cold, around the state of Michigan you see stunted crops that need HEAT. Our tomatoes will be green this fall if they make it. Talked to a couple UPers at the sale barn and they said this will be the short est hay crop in their 63 years of farming. Both of them are in the early eighty's.
They are cutting back on herd size because of a short hay crop already.
 
From Agriculture.com

Frost early ??

Corn producers who have aggressively forward contracted or farmers who need to cover feed needs should consider purchasing December corn CALLS now. As we look ahead to the next two months, we continue to see a weather forecast that generally remains on the cool side. Historical years of 2004 and 1965 are very comparable to this year's weather activity. Stepping in front of the market with safety valves, or out-of-the-money CALLS for a fixed amount of risk, is a way to protect against a price rally, especially if there is a supply shock such as early frost.

We are not predicting an early frost but want to encourage farmers to recognize if one were to occur, prices could quickly rally. Historically, cool summers have generally produced big crops.

The all-time highest yield for corn occurred in 2004 (a cool summer) at 160 bushels per acre. With good growing conditions this summer and a few more timely rains, the market may see similar yields.

On the other hand, much of the crop this year was planted two or more weeks late. With cool conditions and, in some areas, dry, it does not appear the current crop is making significant maturing progress due to lack of heat units.

While the odds of an early frost are unlikely, frosts have occurred in the past with 1973 being the last prevalent freeze that caused significant damage. This year's crop is at risk.

An early killing frost would likely affect much of the northern Corn Belt. Farmers have the technology and equipment to get into the field and rapidly plant.

Yet, this year's late planting, due to wet conditions, pushed much of the crop well behind schedule, as was evident by this week's Crop Ratings and Progress report, which indicated corn at 55% silked versus a 5-year average of 76%.

States that were running behind by more than 20% were Illinois, 53% versus 93% average; Indiana, 53% versus 84% average; Michigan, 23% versus 66% average; North Dakota, 9% versus 47% average; South Dakota, 15% versus 40% average; Wisconsin, 21% versus 47% average. Bottom line, the North is late.
 
Heavy Frost with snow and the end of the Growing season. We are forcasted to get 5 inches Sunday night and into Monday. You guys in Canada and the upper West, Midwest GET READY for Frozen water pipes!

http://www.accuweather.com/regional-news-story.asp?region=midwestusnews
 
Temperatures are easily below the freezing mark this morning for the Northern Plains and far northwestern Corn Belt. Areas at or below freezing tomorrow morning will extend further east and south to cover most of Nebraska, much of Iowa, much of Wisconsin, and far northwestern Illinois.

Lows below freezing on Sunday morning likely will extend into northern Kansas, far northern Missouri, northern Illinois, far northwestern Indiana, and southern Michigan.

There were hopes for a dramatic warm-up for late next week and beyond, but instead weather models are suggesting a fresh cold air mass after our weather system of October 15-16.

Well then ,the Sun spots are gone and a rough early winter is here !
The next ice age could begin any day.
Next week, next month, next year, it's not a question of if, only when.
One day you'll wake up - or you won't wake up, rather - buried beneath nine
stories of snow. It's all part of a dependable, predictable cycle, a natural
cycle that returns like clockwork every 11,500 years.

. . . And since the last ice age ended almost exactly 11,500 years ago . . .
You Guess When!!!
 

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