gcreekrch
Well-known member
About 14 inches total. This would be a desert if it wasn't for the trees.
Another key point is, how much of your rainfall/precipitation do you think you utilize?
Oldtimer said:Another key point is, how much of your rainfall/precipitation do you think you utilize?
Altho our norm is 11.5-- we can have a very good grass and crop year on 8 or 9 inches-- if it comes at the right time...Conversely we can have an abnormally wet year- and if it all comes too early or too late in a year we can have a disaster...
Old rancher used to always say "we're one rain away from a drought- and one rain away from a bumper crop"....
The good thing about here this year is the winter moisture- and early rains filled up all the water holes- and brought up the water table on the springs and wells....
PureCountry said:It's like pouring a cup of water onto your kitchen table, or conversely, pouring onto a sponge. Which is going to actually hold water where it's needed? Right now in East Central Alberta, there are producers selling off grassers and cows as they have no pasture for them to go onto. It's ...
I have to go my wife kicked me off the computer.... finish later.
THIS ALLOWS THE CLOSED LOW OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST TO BECOME AN OPEN WAVE THAT MOVES NORTHEAST OVER
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND EVENTUALLY PHASING WITH THE SOUTHWEST
CANADA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST WAVE FORMING A COLD CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE BY SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS A WET PATTERN
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS PACIFIC MOISTURE OVERRUNS A DEEP LAYER
OF UNSEASONABLY COOL EASTERLY FLOW. WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR
ALREADY IN PLACE ALONG WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION RECORD LOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE A POSSIBILITY SATURDAY...ANY MAYBE SUNDAY.
THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT
NIGHT...FOR THE LITTLE ROCKY MOUNTAINS...SNOWBELT DIVIDE...AND
NORTHERN VALLEY COUNTY. AT THIS TIME A RAIN SNOW MIX WAS ONLY
INCLUDED FOR THE LITTLE ROCKIES ABOVE 3500FT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
AS THIS CAN BE REFINED AS THE EVENT APPROACHES. THE UPPER LOW
SLOWLY PLODS EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNSEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EARLY NEXT ALONG WITH
AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS AS LOW HEIGHTS LINGER OVER NORTHEAST
MONTANA.
Jeff if you're getting the same storms we are you should be allright.jeff in ca said:Just enough, to keep us thinking we can make it another year.
.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE WELL ADVERTISED...UNUSUAL AND COMPLEX...WEATHER PATTERN
SETTING UP WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE REGION TONIGHT WITH WIND AND
RAIN. TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY COOLED SUBSTANTIALLY FROM
YESTERDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT SWEPT SOUTH OVER THE REGION
LAST EVENING. THE MORNING WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS THE
CLOSED LOW CENTERED NEAR SAN FRANCISCO PUMPING WARM MOIST AIR FROM
THE PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR SAN DIEGO INTO THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN
ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION. THIS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH WILL WORK
ITS WAY INTO THE COLDER REGION OF MONTANA TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL
BEGIN TO DUMP THE MOISTURE IN SOUTHERN MONTANA. IN
ADDITION...ANOTHER COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER SHORT WAVE
DROPPING SOUTH FROM CANADA WILL CREATE ANOTHER AREA OF RAIN ACROSS
THE NORTHERN ZONES. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH MOVING SOUTH WILL
TIGHTEN THE SURFACE GRADIENT THIS EVENING WHICH WILL MAINTAIN
STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AT AROUND 15-25KT OVERNIGHT AND
SATURDAY...ENOUGH TO ISSUE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR FORT PECK
LAKE. THE NORTHERN WAVE AND THE SOUTHWEST FLOW MERGE OVER NORTHERN
MONTANA SATURDAY. THEREFORE SATURDAY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DAY FOR
WIDESPREAD AND SUBSTANTIAL STRATIFORM RAIN....OVER MOST OF THE
CWA. THE MODELS ARE NOT CLEAR WITH TIMING AND LOCATION OF FAVORED
AREAS...BUT RAIN AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM A HALF INCH TO AN INCH
AND A HALF BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SATURDAY NIGHT THE CANADIAN
TROUGH...CONTAINING MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR...BEGINS TO CLOSE OFF AS
IT DROPS INTO WESTERN MONTANA. THE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
CARRY THE MOISTURE INTO THE EASTERN ZONES AND NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE CLOSED LOW WILL SEND MUCH COLDER AIR INTO WESTERN AND
NORTHERN MONTANA SATURDAY NIGHT. BOTH GFS AND NAM HAVE 850MB
TEMPERATURES AT -2C OR LESS AND 700MB AT -10C. AREAS SOUTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER WILL THEREFORE BE MOSTLY RAIN FROM THE WARM SW
FLOW...WHILE THE NORTHERN ZONES WILL SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW.
SOME AREAS IN THE NORTH...MAINLY HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS...WILL SEE
ALL SNOW. BUT WHERE THE PRECIPITATION BECOMES ALL SNOW...THE QPF
WILL BE MUCH LOWER. SO DO NOT EXPECT HEADLINE SNOW AT THIS TIME.
THE FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL CARRY INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND
POSSIBLY AFTERNOON TOO.
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE ABOVE THE 40S SATURDAY
AND WILL STRUGGLE TO STAY IN THE 40S SUNDAY. MINIMUM HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS COULD FALL THIS WEEKEND. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY NIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE 30S AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.