pointrider
Well-known member
Hi folks!
I thought you might be interested in some statistics on the cow-calf industry. Here's a start. More to come.
CHANGES BY STATE (& REGION) 1999 vs 2004
500+ HEAD OPERATIONS
1999 vs 2004, the states with a change of +/- 20 or more
+ 20 or more:
AL (+20)
ID (+50)
ND (+20)
OR (+40)
SD (+90)
(+220)
-20 or more:
AZ (-40) NM (-50)
CO (-50) TX (-100)
FL (-20) WY (-50)
MT (-30)
NE (-20)
(-360)
(U.S. Total: -95)
100-499 HEAD OPERATIONS
1999 vs 2004, the states with a change of +/- 100 or more
+100 or more:
AR (+180) MN (+245)
GA (+260) MO (+910)
IA (+290) OK (+700)
KS (+190) SD (+100)
KY (+590) VA (+100)
(+3,565)
-100 or more:
CA (-300) NE (-180)
CO (-550) NM (-200)
ID (-160) TX (-200)
MS (-160) WA (-120)
MT (-400) WY (-350)
(-2,620)
(U.S. Total: +1,155)
Source: www.nass.usda.gov
I have seen regional shifts in agriculture before. There is no doubt in my mind that the severe drought in the West in the past 4-5 years (depending on your location) contributed to this change in several ways. The question now is, with improved rainfall and grassland conditions, will the Mountain West be able to recapture its share of total beef production in the years ahead.
Other factors besides drought are involved in this shift, also. For example, the heavy demand for land in the West for "suburban sprawl," and probably most important, water issues.
Texas is another good example of fast growth taking ranch land out of production. Also, I drove through West Texas on my way to San Antonio last fall, and I was amazed at how few cattle I saw in West Texas even though pasture conditions looked good. Perhaps energy prices have the oilpatch cowboys more interested in their oil and gas wells these days.
From my experience, regional shifts get a certain momentum and are hard to stop until the new demographics mature. Then other factors may come into play that starts another shift. We probably need a little more time to say if this shift to more production to the central part of the country (plus some gain in "regional markets" such as the Northwest and the Northeast) is real, but it is off to a good start.
Individual states may be able to buck the trend a little by "diversifying." South Dakota is gaining larger operations, and larger and fewer is always the way in business including agriculture until the industry reaches a point where more opportunity exists for niche products. It was just reported that South Dakota hunters last year took more deer than ever, the fifth straight year the harvest increased.
It's interesting that the five year increased harvest coincides with the latest five year drought. Looks like South Dakota was determined to increase hunting rights and preserve total income.
Where do you see the industry going from here considering all the issues in play right now?
"The challenges of the future cannot be met by the answers of the past."
I thought you might be interested in some statistics on the cow-calf industry. Here's a start. More to come.
CHANGES BY STATE (& REGION) 1999 vs 2004
500+ HEAD OPERATIONS
1999 vs 2004, the states with a change of +/- 20 or more
+ 20 or more:
AL (+20)
ID (+50)
ND (+20)
OR (+40)
SD (+90)
(+220)
-20 or more:
AZ (-40) NM (-50)
CO (-50) TX (-100)
FL (-20) WY (-50)
MT (-30)
NE (-20)
(-360)
(U.S. Total: -95)
100-499 HEAD OPERATIONS
1999 vs 2004, the states with a change of +/- 100 or more
+100 or more:
AR (+180) MN (+245)
GA (+260) MO (+910)
IA (+290) OK (+700)
KS (+190) SD (+100)
KY (+590) VA (+100)
(+3,565)
-100 or more:
CA (-300) NE (-180)
CO (-550) NM (-200)
ID (-160) TX (-200)
MS (-160) WA (-120)
MT (-400) WY (-350)
(-2,620)
(U.S. Total: +1,155)
Source: www.nass.usda.gov
I have seen regional shifts in agriculture before. There is no doubt in my mind that the severe drought in the West in the past 4-5 years (depending on your location) contributed to this change in several ways. The question now is, with improved rainfall and grassland conditions, will the Mountain West be able to recapture its share of total beef production in the years ahead.
Other factors besides drought are involved in this shift, also. For example, the heavy demand for land in the West for "suburban sprawl," and probably most important, water issues.
Texas is another good example of fast growth taking ranch land out of production. Also, I drove through West Texas on my way to San Antonio last fall, and I was amazed at how few cattle I saw in West Texas even though pasture conditions looked good. Perhaps energy prices have the oilpatch cowboys more interested in their oil and gas wells these days.
From my experience, regional shifts get a certain momentum and are hard to stop until the new demographics mature. Then other factors may come into play that starts another shift. We probably need a little more time to say if this shift to more production to the central part of the country (plus some gain in "regional markets" such as the Northwest and the Northeast) is real, but it is off to a good start.
Individual states may be able to buck the trend a little by "diversifying." South Dakota is gaining larger operations, and larger and fewer is always the way in business including agriculture until the industry reaches a point where more opportunity exists for niche products. It was just reported that South Dakota hunters last year took more deer than ever, the fifth straight year the harvest increased.
It's interesting that the five year increased harvest coincides with the latest five year drought. Looks like South Dakota was determined to increase hunting rights and preserve total income.
Where do you see the industry going from here considering all the issues in play right now?
"The challenges of the future cannot be met by the answers of the past."