ocm: "So why not just sell your calves and speculate on the board? As soon as you talk hedging, you throw a whole different aspect into it. Retained ownership becomes an insignificant part of the picture."
No, I am not speculating on the board. I am managing my risk. All I did was buy CME insurance (options) to prevent a train wreck. I wouldn't even consider feeding cattle without protection on the board.
There is big difference between speculating and managing your risk.
ocm: "Don't get me wrong. We encourage "retained ownership", but not like you're talking."
Of course you encourage "retain ownership", most feedlot operators do. That way they can transfer the risk to the owner of the cattle and the producer is placed in a situation of trusting the feeder that what he's being billed for is actually going into the bunk.
ocm: "We do not encourage taking them past 800 lbs. By then most of the good is out of them. COG starts going up with % return going down. Take the profit and get into another set. Also you need to look at the fact that it takes more capital to keep them longer, which cuts into the capital your could use for you cow heard. There is not a single answer that always works."
What about the end product? The rewards of "retained ownership" are not just in the feedlot, they are on the rail as well.
The reason to retain ownership on your cattle is so you can see what they are hanging on the rail as well as how they perform in the feedlot. With the information, you can manage your genetics so you can achieve better results in the feedlot and better carcass premiums.
The only way to know if you are raising cattle that will perform in the feedlot and hanging the right carcass on the rail is to watch them all the way through and adjust your genetics accordingly.
ocm: "We operate a feedlot."
Randy Stevenson from Wyoming I presume?
ocm: "We encourage our customers to "retain" until about 800 lbs. Some do less. Some only go about 90 days after weaning. You will note that I put quotes around "retained ownership."
That's the first time I've heard that.
Weather and market factors can have a huge effect on when those cattle would turn a profit.
I'm guess that your distance from the packing house is an issue too right? That would also explain your theories on "captive supply" too. I'm starting to get the picture here.
If you look at CattleFax's "retained ownership analysis" that has measured profitability in every aspect of retain ownership for well over 25 years, fast track heavy weight feeder cattle that finished in April made more money than any other "retain ownership" alternative.
Now granted, it was about 5 years ago that I read this report but it was for a 20 - 25 year time period. This analysis doesn't include any possible carcass premiums which can be substantial.
If I am going to retain ownership, I'm going to take them to the rail because that is where I may have to make some changes.
ocm: "There are situations and kinds of cattle that do well on open range (the cows) but not quite as well feeding--about average (their calves). Breeding to make the calves do well would create cows that won't survive on the open range. Most of our customers come from areas where cow survival and her ability to produce a calf every year is a key factor in profitability. The same breeding that makes a calf gain 3.5 lbs in the feedlot conflicts with a cow that can survive on 80 acres(per cow). My definition of "good" cattle is those that are profitable in the situation they're in."
That is a very true statement but there is cattle that do well in both situations. Not many of them but they do happen.
I listened to Kit Pharo speak on profitability on the range and I thought I had the chink in his armour with how those small cattle would perform in the feedlot and on the rail. My assumption was wrong, DEAD WRONG! Those cattle had to be fed a little differently but they ended up hanging 700 - 750 lb. choice Y2s. YES A HIGH PERCENTAGE OF CHOICE YIELD GRADE 2s. I couldn't believe it. Must have had a touch of Tarentaise in them because most Angus cattle have too much bark.
Anyway, your point is taken in many situations but I know for a fact that there is cattle that do it on the range and do it in the feedlot.
My biggest criticism of most "retain ownership" feedlots are more concerned about selling feed than when, where, and how they should be selling fat cattle.
If you are Randy Stevenson, I hope your health is improving.
~SH~