Larrry
Well-known member
Has the Russian weather scare run its course or will we see another hot market Monday?
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-29/wheat-rises-to-13-month-high-on-hot-dry-weather-in-russia-corn-soy-gain.htmlTemperatures will top 100 degrees (38 Celsius) during the next 10 days in Russia
Wheat rose to a 13-month high, while corn and soybeans extended gains, as hot, dry weather damaged crops from Russia to France, boosting demand for supplies from the U.S.
The heat wave gripping Russia has led to the worst drought in more than 100 years. Huge areas of crops have been wiped out,
Hot summers are not unusual even in northern Russia, but this year temperatures have soared to record levels, withering crops and causing health hazards.
Even before the wildfires, many farmers in European Russia were facing bankruptcy as the drought parched grain crops and pasture lands. SovEcon, the Moscow-based agriculture consultancy, warned last week that Russia's grain harvest would drop by at least 20 per cent this year to 70m-75m tons, barely enough to cover the nation's needs. Many small farmers are slaughtering livestock, unable to afford the surging cost of animal feed.
US wheat futures rose more than 5 per cent on Friday after warnings that Russia, one of the world's top grain exporters, could halve supplies to world markets this year.
Nixon was in office and Earl Butz was the Sec of Agriculture- and negotiated a big wheat deal with Russia. Changed grain markets, land values, and livestock markets.
Larrry said:Just a good example of Gov screwing up anything it touches. Still happening and people are still looking for the gov to solve their problems. Will they ever learn.
Ot, I'll sell you as much wheat as you want for 9.00 and then when it gets to ten or fifteen you can reap the profit.
Larrry said:Good luck on the wheat. I am getting a little spooked on the price. I can live with the price right now, don't want to be too greedy. I'll probably leave that last dime for some other brave soul
Gulke learned long ago that you can't argue with the technicals—the charts often tell you something is going on in the markets that you can't readily appreciate in the fundamentals. The charts for wheat, corn, soybeans, bean oil and maybe bean meal all are now long on both a weekly and monthly basis, he says. "This generally means we will see an upward bias for the next 12 to 18 months."
"It could be we are in about the same situation we were in 2008," says Gulke. "Now, we need something catastrophic to happen to not be in a bull market."
Remember, the last time they had a severe drought in Russia- Nixon was in office and Earl Butz was the Sec of Agriculture- and negotiated a big wheat deal with Russia. Changed grain markets, land values, and livestock markets.
Larrry said:up 60 in overnight trading
Ukraine, another major exporter, also has canceled several wheat export contracts due to lack of supply from farmers and other issues, trading executives said. The news heightened fears about tightening supplies because export restrictions in the former Soviet Union helped shove prices to record high prices in early 2008.