Murgen said:
Would you care to go into a REAL historical look at the beef industry? I believe Domina published something on that in Azzan's publication. Anyone interested in reading this article can get it from Dr. Azzan at the University at Lincoln, NE.
Econ, is this the same Azzan, who has been part of many studies, that have stated that Captive supplies, DO NOT "substantially" affect the cash markets?
What about other Economists who state that Prohibiting such contracts and partnerships would damage the gains the industry has made in the last 20 years? Economists such as: Feuz, Lawrence, Grimes, Purcell, Hayenga, Schroeder, Koontz, Ward, Ritchie and Smith.
Are you the only Economist, that is not in the Packer pockets?
Murgen,
Even I am not opposed to these contracts. What I do oppose is the market power and its excersise that distorts the markets and allows either more industry concentration or discrimination against some in the industry. Some of the economists know that the price depression is temporary, which I admit that it is, but they still do not speak to the unfairnes, or the inefficiencies it creates in the markets. GIPSA, as indicated by many ag. economists, does not ask the right questions to get the answers producers are seeking. Remember, only a company with market power can distort the market with these contracts when we are talking about price discovery. The captive supply and non-reporting of the actual contracted price is the problem. This dichotomy in information only benefits the packers who already know the answers.
It is unfortunate that the government regulators either do not have the tools to do their jobs or the will. I personally think it is the latter. You have to remember who is funding these studies. I think the money trail posted on this forum speaks for itself. The power of the purse is large.
I do have a study paid for by GIPSA that is being conducted at this time to use as an example. Tom Vukina of North Carolina was given a study to complete on the pork industry. Here is the study:
News Release
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Media Contact:
Dr. Tom Vukina, 919/515-5864
Mick Kulikowski, News Services, 919/515-3470
Sept. 15, 2004
NC State Receives $465K Grant to Study Swine Marketing
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
North Carolina State University agricultural economists have received $465,000 to study different types of marketing arrangements in the swine and pork industries.
NC State is a part of the consortium of researchers headed by the Research Triangle Institute (RTI), which received a $4.3 million contract from the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Grain Inspection Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA) to study livestock and meat marketing for hogs, cattle and sheep.
Dr. Tomislav Vukina, NC State professor of agricultural and resource economics, says he and colleagues at NC State – Dr. Michael Wohlgenant, William Neal Reynolds Distinguished Professor of agricultural and resource economics, and Dr. Nick Piggott, associate professor of agricultural and resource economics – will take a close look at the implications that the changing organizational structure of the swine and pork industries exerts on producers' and consumers' costs and benefits.
The researchers will take mounds of data collected by RTI – surveys of all those involved in livestock and meat production and marketing, from farmers and packers to food service firms, exporters and retailers, as well as their individual transaction data – and conduct various economic analyses, including:
* Identifying and determining the use of emerging types of marketing arrangements such as production and marketing contracts;
* Determining terms of the marketing arrangements and their availability to entities of different sizes and in different geographic locations;
* Determining the long-term implications of swine marketing arrangements on operating costs; animal and meat quality; marketing risks; prices of livestock and meat; and the structure of the livestock and meatpacking industries.
Vukina says the study is important to North Carolina because of its multibillion-dollar livestock industry. He's especially interested in comparing and contrasting the North Carolina model – dominated by vertically integrated companies which own everything involved in producing pork and which often contract out segments of production to independent farmers – with the Midwestern model in which small farms raise pigs and sell them at auctions.
"This study will give us a better understanding of how the industry operates and how all the different segments function," Vukina said. "Although there will be no policy proposals in this project, it will provide insight about similar changes occurring in other industrial organizations in agriculture."
- kulikowski -
Unfortunately, the study has some major flaws before it even begins. One of these flaws has to do with idiosyncratic information about North Carolina hog production. The state of N.C. has a moratorium on hog production facilities because of potential pollution problems (after a recent hurricane there was flooding of hog facilities). Because of this, the farmers in that area have real bargaining power. Swift has to keep the hog farmers happy because if they do not, they will not have the supply they need for their operations. Consequently, those farmers are being treated really good and making good profits. This is similar to the supply-side control I believe you or someone else brought up about the Canadian ag. olicy.
Even with vertical integration, this circumstance makes Swift compete for the farmer's labor, land and capital. If this study makes a comparison of contracts to a more open market system in Iowa, it will look like contract agriculture is a win-win situation for both. This will skew all of the conclusions drawn about contracts and their value to the producer. Now why would GIPSA fund such a fundamentally flawed or useless study?
I think that data for the studies you mentioned above should not be "cherry picked" in time and place to get the conclusions the authors or their funders want. That is the problem I see with these studies. In Vukina's earlier works on the Broiler industry, he has an obvious bias against the producer's arguments. I suppose this is part of the reason he landed this study.