jodywy
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http://www.taxfoundation.org/publications/printer/1139.html
October 26, 2005
State and Federal Treasuries "Profit" More from Gasoline Sales than U.S. Oil Industry
by Scott A. Hodge and Jonathan Williams
High gas prices and strong oil company earnings have generated a rash of new tax proposals in recent months. Some lawmakers have called for new "windfall profits" taxes—similar to the one signed into federal law in 1980 by President Jimmy Carter—that would tax the profits of major oil companies at a rate of 50 percent. Meanwhile, many commentators have voiced support for the idea of increasing gas taxes to keep the price of gasoline at post-Katrina highs, thereby reducing gas consumption.
However, often ignored in this debate is the fact that oil industry profits are highly cyclical, making them just as prone to "busts" as to "booms." Additionally, tax collections on the production and import of gasoline by state and federal governments are already near historic highs. In fact, in recent decades governments have collected far more revenue from gasoline taxes than the largest U.S. oil companies have collectively earned in domestic profits.
According to data compiled by the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration, the domestic profits of the 25 largest oil companies in the U.S. have been highly volatile since the late 1970s.
As illustrated in Figure 1, between 1977 and 1985, the oil industry recorded relatively high profits—averaging nearly $33 billion per year, after adjusting for inflation. These good times were followed by ten years of relatively flat profits, averaging just $12.3 billion per year. In 1996, profits began to rise again but have been anything but stable, ranging from $9 billion to nearly $42 billion per year. Between 1977 and 2004, the industry's domestic profits totaled $643 billion, after adjusting for inflation.
Figure 1. State and Federal Taxes on Gasoline Production and Imports Exceed Oil Industry Profits in Most Years
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Energy Information Administration
In contrast, federal and state taxes on gasoline production and imports have been climbing steadily since the late 1970s and now total roughly $58.4 billion. Due in part to substantial hikes in the federal gasoline excise tax in 1983, 1990, and 1993, annual tax revenues have continued to grow. Since 1977, governments collected more than $1.34 trillion, after adjusting for inflation, in gasoline tax revenues—more than twice the amount of domestic profits earned by major U.S. oil companies during the same period.
As illustrated in Table 1, since 1977, there have been only three years (1980, 1981, and 1982) in which domestic oil industry profits exceeded government gas tax collections. In the remaining years, gasoline tax collections consistently exceeded oil industry profits, reaching a peak in 1995 when gas tax collections outpaced industry profits by a factor of 7.3.
Table 1. State and Federal Gasoline Taxes Compared to Major U.S. Oil Companies' Domestic Profits, 1977-2004 (figures in billions of 2004 dollars)
Year
1977
$26.8 Oil Profits
$13.7 Federal Taxes
$29.0 State Taxes
$42.7 Total Taxes
1978
$27.5 Oil Profits
$13.0 Federal Taxes
$28.1 State Taxes
$41.1 Total Taxes
1979
$34.9 Oil Profits
$11.4 Federal Taxes
$25.2 State Taxes
$36.7 Total Taxes
1980
$41.0 Oil Profits
$9.4 Federal Taxes
$22.0 State Taxes
$31.4 Total Taxes
1981
$41.4 Oil Profits
$8.5 Federal Taxes
$21.0 State Taxes
$29.5 Total Taxes
1982
$35.8 Oil Profits
$8.0 Federal Taxes
$20.6 State Taxes
$28.6 Total Taxes
1983
$30.2 Oil Profits
$15.0 Federal Taxes
$22.0 State Taxes
$37.0 Total Taxes
1984
$28.7 Oil Profits
$16.2 Federal Taxes
$23.5 State Taxes
$39.6 Total Taxes
1985
$29.3 Oil Profits
$15.6 Federal Taxes
$24.6 State Taxes
$40.2 Total Taxes
1986
$9.0 Oil Profits
$15.9 Federal Taxes
$25.7 State Taxes
$41.5 Total Taxes
1987
$14.0 Oil Profits
$15.0 Federal Taxes
$27.4 State Taxes
$42.4 Total Taxes
1988
$16.9 Oil Profits
$15.6 Federal Taxes
$28.1 State Taxes
$43.8 Total Taxes
1989
$14.5 Oil Profits
$14.5 Federal Taxes
$28.3 State Taxes
$42.8 Total Taxes
1990
$18.6 Oil Profits
$14.5 Federal Taxes
$29.1 State Taxes
$43.5 Total Taxes
1991
$11.0 Oil Profits
$21.1 Federal Taxes
$29.7 State Taxes
$50.8 Total Taxes
1992
$10.1 Oil Profits
$20.9 Federal Taxes
$30.8 State Taxes
$51.7 Total Taxes
1993
$10.6 Oil Profits
$20.9 Federal Taxes
$31.4 State Taxes
$52.3 Total Taxes
1994
$10.8 Oil Profits
$27.1 Federal Taxes
$32.1 State Taxes
$59.3 Total Taxes
1995
$7.9 Oil Profits
$26.3 Federal Taxes
$31.9 State Taxes
$58.1 Total Taxes
1996
$18.9 Oil Profits
$26.8 Federal Taxes
$32.0 State Taxes
$58.9 Total Taxes
1997
$18.8 Oil Profits
$26.0 Federal Taxes
$32.6 State Taxes
$58.6 Total Taxes
1998
$9.0 Oil Profits
$27.1 Federal Taxes
$33.1 State Taxes
$60.3 Total Taxes
1999
$16.8 Oil Profits
$26.5 Federal Taxes
$33.6 State Taxes
$60.1 Total Taxes
2000
$34.9 Oil Profits
$25.7 Federal Taxes
$33.3 State Taxes
$59.0 Total Taxes
2001
$35.1 Oil Profits
$24.9 Federal Taxes
$33.6 State Taxes
$58.5 Total Taxes
2002
$16.2 Oil Profits
$24.5 Federal Taxes
$33.9 State Taxes
$58.4 Total Taxes
2003
$31.7 Oil Profits
$24.6 Federal Taxes
$33.4 State Taxes
$58.0 Total Taxes
2004
$42.6 Oil Profits
$24.2 Federal Taxes
$34.2 State Taxes
$58.4 Total Taxes
Total
$643.0 Oil Profits
$533.0 Federal Taxes
$810.1 State Taxes
$1,343.1 Total Taxes
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Energy Information Administration
Unlike the highly volatile path of industry profits, gasoline taxes exhibit steady growth with little regard for changes in the U.S. economy. As lawmakers respond to rising gas prices, they should keep in mind the importance of state and federal gasoline taxes in comparison with oil industry profits.
October 26, 2005
State and Federal Treasuries "Profit" More from Gasoline Sales than U.S. Oil Industry
by Scott A. Hodge and Jonathan Williams
High gas prices and strong oil company earnings have generated a rash of new tax proposals in recent months. Some lawmakers have called for new "windfall profits" taxes—similar to the one signed into federal law in 1980 by President Jimmy Carter—that would tax the profits of major oil companies at a rate of 50 percent. Meanwhile, many commentators have voiced support for the idea of increasing gas taxes to keep the price of gasoline at post-Katrina highs, thereby reducing gas consumption.
However, often ignored in this debate is the fact that oil industry profits are highly cyclical, making them just as prone to "busts" as to "booms." Additionally, tax collections on the production and import of gasoline by state and federal governments are already near historic highs. In fact, in recent decades governments have collected far more revenue from gasoline taxes than the largest U.S. oil companies have collectively earned in domestic profits.
According to data compiled by the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration, the domestic profits of the 25 largest oil companies in the U.S. have been highly volatile since the late 1970s.
As illustrated in Figure 1, between 1977 and 1985, the oil industry recorded relatively high profits—averaging nearly $33 billion per year, after adjusting for inflation. These good times were followed by ten years of relatively flat profits, averaging just $12.3 billion per year. In 1996, profits began to rise again but have been anything but stable, ranging from $9 billion to nearly $42 billion per year. Between 1977 and 2004, the industry's domestic profits totaled $643 billion, after adjusting for inflation.
Figure 1. State and Federal Taxes on Gasoline Production and Imports Exceed Oil Industry Profits in Most Years
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Energy Information Administration
In contrast, federal and state taxes on gasoline production and imports have been climbing steadily since the late 1970s and now total roughly $58.4 billion. Due in part to substantial hikes in the federal gasoline excise tax in 1983, 1990, and 1993, annual tax revenues have continued to grow. Since 1977, governments collected more than $1.34 trillion, after adjusting for inflation, in gasoline tax revenues—more than twice the amount of domestic profits earned by major U.S. oil companies during the same period.
As illustrated in Table 1, since 1977, there have been only three years (1980, 1981, and 1982) in which domestic oil industry profits exceeded government gas tax collections. In the remaining years, gasoline tax collections consistently exceeded oil industry profits, reaching a peak in 1995 when gas tax collections outpaced industry profits by a factor of 7.3.
Table 1. State and Federal Gasoline Taxes Compared to Major U.S. Oil Companies' Domestic Profits, 1977-2004 (figures in billions of 2004 dollars)
Year
1977
$26.8 Oil Profits
$13.7 Federal Taxes
$29.0 State Taxes
$42.7 Total Taxes
1978
$27.5 Oil Profits
$13.0 Federal Taxes
$28.1 State Taxes
$41.1 Total Taxes
1979
$34.9 Oil Profits
$11.4 Federal Taxes
$25.2 State Taxes
$36.7 Total Taxes
1980
$41.0 Oil Profits
$9.4 Federal Taxes
$22.0 State Taxes
$31.4 Total Taxes
1981
$41.4 Oil Profits
$8.5 Federal Taxes
$21.0 State Taxes
$29.5 Total Taxes
1982
$35.8 Oil Profits
$8.0 Federal Taxes
$20.6 State Taxes
$28.6 Total Taxes
1983
$30.2 Oil Profits
$15.0 Federal Taxes
$22.0 State Taxes
$37.0 Total Taxes
1984
$28.7 Oil Profits
$16.2 Federal Taxes
$23.5 State Taxes
$39.6 Total Taxes
1985
$29.3 Oil Profits
$15.6 Federal Taxes
$24.6 State Taxes
$40.2 Total Taxes
1986
$9.0 Oil Profits
$15.9 Federal Taxes
$25.7 State Taxes
$41.5 Total Taxes
1987
$14.0 Oil Profits
$15.0 Federal Taxes
$27.4 State Taxes
$42.4 Total Taxes
1988
$16.9 Oil Profits
$15.6 Federal Taxes
$28.1 State Taxes
$43.8 Total Taxes
1989
$14.5 Oil Profits
$14.5 Federal Taxes
$28.3 State Taxes
$42.8 Total Taxes
1990
$18.6 Oil Profits
$14.5 Federal Taxes
$29.1 State Taxes
$43.5 Total Taxes
1991
$11.0 Oil Profits
$21.1 Federal Taxes
$29.7 State Taxes
$50.8 Total Taxes
1992
$10.1 Oil Profits
$20.9 Federal Taxes
$30.8 State Taxes
$51.7 Total Taxes
1993
$10.6 Oil Profits
$20.9 Federal Taxes
$31.4 State Taxes
$52.3 Total Taxes
1994
$10.8 Oil Profits
$27.1 Federal Taxes
$32.1 State Taxes
$59.3 Total Taxes
1995
$7.9 Oil Profits
$26.3 Federal Taxes
$31.9 State Taxes
$58.1 Total Taxes
1996
$18.9 Oil Profits
$26.8 Federal Taxes
$32.0 State Taxes
$58.9 Total Taxes
1997
$18.8 Oil Profits
$26.0 Federal Taxes
$32.6 State Taxes
$58.6 Total Taxes
1998
$9.0 Oil Profits
$27.1 Federal Taxes
$33.1 State Taxes
$60.3 Total Taxes
1999
$16.8 Oil Profits
$26.5 Federal Taxes
$33.6 State Taxes
$60.1 Total Taxes
2000
$34.9 Oil Profits
$25.7 Federal Taxes
$33.3 State Taxes
$59.0 Total Taxes
2001
$35.1 Oil Profits
$24.9 Federal Taxes
$33.6 State Taxes
$58.5 Total Taxes
2002
$16.2 Oil Profits
$24.5 Federal Taxes
$33.9 State Taxes
$58.4 Total Taxes
2003
$31.7 Oil Profits
$24.6 Federal Taxes
$33.4 State Taxes
$58.0 Total Taxes
2004
$42.6 Oil Profits
$24.2 Federal Taxes
$34.2 State Taxes
$58.4 Total Taxes
Total
$643.0 Oil Profits
$533.0 Federal Taxes
$810.1 State Taxes
$1,343.1 Total Taxes
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Energy Information Administration
Unlike the highly volatile path of industry profits, gasoline taxes exhibit steady growth with little regard for changes in the U.S. economy. As lawmakers respond to rising gas prices, they should keep in mind the importance of state and federal gasoline taxes in comparison with oil industry profits.