I read alot here, but dont post often...but I read all these you cant make money ranching threads and it kills me.
I have made spreadsheet after spreadsheet after spreadsheet to verify that my particular numbers add up. Each time I do it I get a different number, but the same result - good profit.
I think it is much more difficult for a rancher to make money the farther north you go. The colder it is, and the shorter your growing season the less grass you will have and therefore you can have fewer cattle.
Im located in South East Texas - we have 768 acres - 100% grazeable - 168ac in rice base. I was nervous about starting out b/c I was unsure how much time and effort was needed to really do this thing right. I take exceptional care of my animals, and I want them to be very low input.
I have a day job, and so the ranch is my hobby - really more a passion. I love it. I think it about constantly, and can not stand the day job. But the day job pays the bills and until I have enough to retire, and a full retirement herd, Im not quitting the day job. I calculate 11-13 more years of day job and I should have enough in the bank and a full retirement herd built up
Started with 20 pairs, mostly 3 n 1s. Bought all heifer calves. Invested in a good bull. My plan is to finish the steers on grass, and sell them finished. My grass goes to waste if I dont graze, so I have no incentive to pull a steer off of it. I will retain good looking heifer calves and sell bad ones. I plan to sell all of my cattle that are wild or non-cooperative.
Figure I invested $1000 per 3n1 and I sell the calves. Its a loss in year 1,2,3 - but year 4 is break even, and every single year after that is profit. The costs associated with cattle after the initial purchase are manageable.
I feed cubes once a week to keep them friendly, and I run them through the squeeze twice per year for shots. Cubes are cheap, shots are cheaper. I understand opportunity cost, but if your willing to forego "opportunity cost" the profit is there to be made.
20 pairs all female build a herd quickly. Keep unhealthy cattle out, and you will be there.
Every way I calculate this 768 acres can flip a PROFIT, after depreciating equipment, fuel, feed, transport, shots, and 8% losses year after year at approximately the $135-170,000 range.
At 1.4 pairs/acre in my area - and never taking the herd above 300 to keep a safety factor for grass losses, I dont see why profit cant be made.
Land is an upfront cost, I dont include in the costs, b/c its an entirely separate investment. Even if I had to include the land though, its still profitable, but it takes the profit closer 70,000-100,000 per year.
The ability to make money on cattle is there. The $100/hd calcs are all based on opportunity costs. If you grow your own, once the first cow has calved twice - everything else is profit.
Just my 0.02 - I say go for it. You only live once. Im going for it, but not until I have everything neeed to retire anyway.