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What factors affect cattle prices?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Anonymous
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SH, "As usual, you are wrong again. The packers are not making more money than MOST producers are on a PER HEAD BASIS."

As usual, you put words in my mouth. RM has you pegged down cold. I'll donate $20 to NCBA if you can post my quote where I said packers make more on a per head basis. If you'll pick up a a shareholder's report from Tyson, earnings are not reported on a per/head basis. Do you report per head on your taxes?

SH, "BSE testing of cattle under 30 months has no scientific justification therefore I don't support it. "

Neither does hormone free, according to the USDA's experts. Yet, hormone free can be marketed but BSE tested can't. If you actually believed in free markets, your take would be, "I don't support it, so I'M not going to do it." You claim that I want to tell people how they can and can't market their cattle, but here you are supporting telling producers "Thou will not.....". You need to look in the mirror.
 
Sandhusker, which test for BSE is universally accepted as valid in the science community? What is the cost per head?

People still argue the point of whether it is more, or less, likley for cattle fed grain or non-grain diets to have BSE.

With no scientifically established proof that an actual connction exists between animal and human versions of BSE, it seems wildly premature to mandate BSE testing for every bovine food animal, doesn't it?

mrj
 
mrj said:
Sandhusker, which test for BSE is universally accepted as valid in the science community? What is the cost per head?

People still argue the point of whether it is more, or less, likley for cattle fed grain or non-grain diets to have BSE.

With no scientifically established proof that an actual connction exists between animal and human versions of BSE, it seems wildly premature to mandate BSE testing for every bovine food animal, doesn't it?

mrj

NO.
 
Idont want to hijack your thread but while reading it crossed my mind that maybe some of the hate people feel for the packer is misdiected.I have a feeling that the cow calf mans personal banker takes more of the profit than yhe packer does.Its a lot easier to call the packer a thief than your banker.
 
smalltime said:
Idont want to hijack your thread but while reading it crossed my mind that maybe some of the hate people feel for the packer is misdiected.I have a feeling that the cow calf mans personal banker takes more of the profit than yhe packer does.Its a lot easier to call the packer a thief than your banker.


I hear ya but my banker doesn't make very much at all on the cattle I produce and has even less to do with the market price, which is where the real problem lies.
 
Burnt, what is your reasoning? Which of my beliefs posted are wrong that would support your "no" answer?

mrj
 
mrj said:
Sandhusker, which test for BSE is universally accepted as valid in the science community? What is the cost per head?

People still argue the point of whether it is more, or less, likley for cattle fed grain or non-grain diets to have BSE.

With no scientifically established proof that an actual connction exists between animal and human versions of BSE, it seems wildly premature to mandate BSE testing for every bovine food animal, doesn't it?

mrj

mrj, I'm not saying testing should be mandated. I'm saying that it should be allowed - just as producers are allowed to market hormone free product. There's no difference.

The test used and the cost is the concern of the buyer and the seller. That is how things work in a free market.
 
smalltime said:
Idont want to hijack your thread but while reading it crossed my mind that maybe some of the hate people feel for the packer is misdiected.I have a feeling that the cow calf mans personal banker takes more of the profit than yhe packer does.Its a lot easier to call the packer a thief than your banker.

You can very easily see how much interest the bank is charging you. If it is too high, you're either at the wrong bank or you're a poor credit risk.
 
mrj said:
Burnt, what is your reasoning? Which of my beliefs posted are wrong that would support your "no" answer?

mrj

I could offer nothing that would satisfy you or anyone else. Let's just say that I'm glad you used the word belief. Cuz I think I'm entitled to my beliefs as well, right? :D

This is one of those debates where no one ever convinces the other that s/he is right or wrong.
 
No problem, burnt, just curious as to why anyone would want a test for BSE used, even if voluntary, which would soon become mandated by marketplace hysteria, IMO, when there very likely is none existing which is scientifically justified.

BSE is very different than the 'hormone' question, in that the health IMPLICATIONS are vastly different.

mrj
 
Sandhusker said:
smalltime said:
Idont want to hijack your thread but while reading it crossed my mind that maybe some of the hate people feel for the packer is misdiected.I have a feeling that the cow calf mans personal banker takes more of the profit than yhe packer does.Its a lot easier to call the packer a thief than your banker.

You can very easily see how much interest the bank is charging you. If it is too high, you're either at the wrong bank or you're a poor credit risk.
Don't hate either...use both when necessary and advantageous.
If you want to make more money, get out from under the bank.
If you want to make more money, get out from under the packer.
 
mrj said:
No problem, burnt, just curious as to why anyone would want a test for BSE used, even if voluntary, which would soon become mandated by marketplace hysteria, IMO, when there very likely is none existing which is scientifically justified.

BSE is very different than the 'hormone' question, in that the health IMPLICATIONS are vastly different.

mrj

There could be those who won't eat beef because of the BSE scare even now.

They might eat some if the animal was tested.

In that case why are we alienating a potential customer for a $15 test?

If I wanted to test my beef for chicken pox, for instance, I should be able to just to carve myself a piece of the marketshare pie. Isn't that the stuff capitalism & entrepreneurialism is made of?
 
Mike said:
mrj said:
No problem, burnt, just curious as to why anyone would want a test for BSE used, even if voluntary, which would soon become mandated by marketplace hysteria, IMO, when there very likely is none existing which is scientifically justified.

BSE is very different than the 'hormone' question, in that the health IMPLICATIONS are vastly different.

mrj

There could be those who won't eat beef because of the BSE scare even now.

They might eat some if the animal was tested.

In that case why are we alienating a potential customer for a $15 test?

If I wanted to test my beef for chicken pox, for instance, I should be able to just to carve myself a piece of the marketshare pie. Isn't that the stuff capitalism & entrepreneurialism is made of?

AMEN- and I don't agree with Mike often :wink: We've spent 7 years trying to open up the Asian markets with the "NCBA's best science bullshit"-which most of the world- and especially the countries that have had people dying from vCJD--don't widely accept (Japan/Asia is the best example)..

So 7 years later we finally have forced upon those foreign governments thru Trade reprisals to take our product- or else-- but we still haven't proven to those consumers that our beef is safe.....

I read yesterday the T bones are finally going to South Korea- but that its unknown if they will be accepted.....

Maxine- I wonder how long ago it would have taken the Japanese and Asians to even allow our products (they haven't been accepted by the consumers yet )-- IF NCBA and the multinational packers (that were profitting off their foreign investments) hadn't stood in the way of Creekstone/etal from testing those products (both US and Canadian) designated for those markets- and had allowed a "true fair" market system and fair trade to exist...... :???: :( :( :mad:
 
Hallelujah I agree with OT. How is the ABP NCBA line working anyway? I have read several letters and one just recently from officials in Japan that wonder out loud why we don't test for their market. My hope is that we come to our senses in Canada before you in the US. Loyalty means a lot to these folks and they will reward the longest term relationship.
 
per said:
Hallelujah I agree with OT. How is the ABP NCBA line working anyway? I have read several letters and one just recently from officials in Japan that wonder out loud why we don't test for their market. My hope is that we come to our senses in Canada before you in the US. Loyalty means a lot to these folks and they will reward the longest term relationship.

Won't happen- as long as Canadian producers thru their representative organizations like ABP, CCA, SSGA, are stuck to the hind teat of whatever the US does......

Creekstone/etal (several other small packers) had even said they were looking at testing and marketing Canadian cattle (which they said the orientals would pay the cost of) but as I remember the old arguments- besides the NCBA Maxines and SH's-- you had CCA and SSGA members like the Tams and Big Muddy's that crawled in bed with the NCBA and Multinational Packer Conglomerates and opposed it with using a term they called "sound science"- and believed it was better to tell those "dumb furriners" to "eat what we send you because we know better than you"-- rather than providing the product they asked for and said they would pay for... ( What a joke :roll: )...

7 Years later and where the hell has these guys "sound science" taken us- if many of the consumers- both domestic and overseas still question or refuse the product :???: :(

The greatest thing it promoted was the domestic "grass fed" and "organic" beef industries now promoted by many consumer groups for those in the areas that can take advantage of it... :)
 
Where the hell is the proof that the BSE test is fail safe and actually does what you think it does?

You get one positive tested by someone elses test after testing ours, or one case of vCJD after CLAIMING to have eaten a USA tested cow, and where will you be?

You totally discount what some of the Japanese themselves have said has more to do with their politics and elections than with any fear of our beef in this whole debacle.

More and more people are demanding SCIENCE, whether you discount it or not, as the basis for food safety.

Where is the information I asked for politely re. science based verification of accuracy of your, or any, test for BSE, let alone the solid, absolute connection between eating beef and any of the various diseases some SUSPECT MAY result from cause and effect of BSE.

mrj
 
mrj said:
Where the hell is the proof that the BSE test is fail safe and actually does what you think it does?

You get one positive tested by someone elses test after testing ours, or one case of vCJD after CLAIMING to have eaten a USA tested cow, and where will you be?

You totally discount what some of the Japanese themselves have said has more to do with their politics and elections than with any fear of our beef in this whole debacle.

More and more people are demanding SCIENCE, whether you discount it or not, as the basis for food safety.

Where is the information I asked for politely re. science based verification of accuracy of your, or any, test for BSE, let alone the solid, absolute connection between eating beef and any of the various diseases some SUSPECT MAY result from cause and effect of BSE.

mrj

MRJ, if YOU are not testing or buying tested beef, what concern is it of yours what test/cost is being used?

If Mike and I have a deal where he is going to test with the War Eagle Test and I'm going to buy from him any product that passes that test, who are you to say that we can't do business?
 
We do have 7 years of proof that not testing is not getting us into the market. This is a marketing issue not a science issue.
 
RM: "SH, let's get to the factual basis...
What does Andy's $3.38/head and the $16/head profit include?
Is it just turning live cattle into hanging carcasses or boxed beef?
Does it include fabrication to a case ready product?
Does it include transportation, cold storage, and distribution?
How about packer owned fed calves...their increase in value while on the feedlot?
Profits from packer owned feedlots?
Does it include the profit from when a packer buyer buys calves off a ranch all the way until the product is unloaded on the Wal-Mart dock?
That last question is where I'm talking about $200 to $500 profit.

How can you make any meaningful statements about "packer profits" if you don't already know the answer to these questions? Or are you just blowing smoke?

In case you missed it, the bold is my position on profits...of course I have my accountant minimize taxable profits!"


As I figured, rather than doing any research on your own you stick to your comfort zone of questioning what someone else presents. Same-O you!

I will discuss the $16 per head figure and if you want to question Andy's data on the $3.38 per head for the 5 largest packers in a 9 year period, you'll have to do that research yourself. Since Andy's business relies on accurate information and his clients rely on accurate information, I'm going to trust his data far more than I would trust empty rhetoric from a packer blamer who simply repeats what they want to believe (not necessarily you but those you listen to). That line of thinking will get you 0 & 9 in court.

At the time questioned during the Pickett vs. ibp case, I am quite sure that ibp was not feeding their own cattle and I'm quite sure they were simply marketing boxed beef to retail outlets as opposed to selling case ready products. If that is incorrect, I welcome anything you can provide to the contrary.

At that time the expense vs. profit picture would include transportation, cold storage and distribution to the retail outlets that marketed their beef. If that is incorrect, I welcome anything you can provide to the contrary. I won't hold my breathe.

Does it really matter Robert? Bottom line is the $16 per head figure is not even close to what the ignorant packer blaming pied pipers were saying about "HUGE PACKER PROFITS" of $300 per head ON UP.

Once you get into packer owned cattle, which TO THE BEST OF MY KNOWLEDGE did not apply in the ibp case, I would want to seperate the feeding profit center from the beef processing and fabrication center.

In regards to packer fed cattle, would you care to make the argument that Excel or JBS can feed cattle more efficiently than the rest of the feeding sector? Care to make the argument that the feeding sector is not competitive? If not, then it's really a moot point isn't it?

Don't waste your time trying to get me to do more research for you. You do your own research and see what you come up with. If I am blowing smoke, you have the right to prove it just as you always have? I don't mind digging up information for someone who wants to learn but I won't waste my time with someone who refuses to do their own research and is looking for anything to discredit the data provided in order to justify continuing to believe in baseless conspiracy theories. An example would be your ridiculous theory that Tyson would subsidize their beef sales with their poultry and pork sectors in order to control the beef market.

The bottom line is this, ibp's $16 PER HEAD profits DURING THE TIME PERIOD IN QUESTION were miniscule in contrast to the service they are providing considering that boxed beef prices drive live cattle prices.

The bottom line is this, in a free market economy, when there is a profit center that is excessive, someone else will seize that opportunity (K-mart vs. Walmart).

The bottom line is this, USPB's patronage dividends were around $25 - $26 per head and Future Beef went broke both proving there was not a "HUGE PROFIT CENTER" to be had.

You have brought nothing to the table that would suggest otherwise.

Since boxed beef prices drive live cattle prices, unless you control every facet of the industry from pasture to plate, it's in the best interests of the entire beef/cattle industry to work together to increase beef consumption. Instead, the packer blamers waste valuable time and energy with their baseless lawsuits and allegations of price fixing and market manipulation which only serve to fracture the industry while competive meats focus on the consumer.

One of the most ignorant statements I have ever heard is "We are in the cattle industry, not the beef industry". My response to that statement is this, "if that's the case, why do you support Country of Origin labeling? Using the logic that you are in the cattle industry and not the beef industry, COOL, if it had any benefits, would only benefit the packers". Another of the many self defeating positions of the packer blamers.

"US BEEF, ASK FOR IT" - R-CALF

WHY? ACCORDING TO THE R-CALF VIEWS OF BEING IN THE CATTLE INDUSTRY AND NOT THE BEEF INDUSTRY, CONSUMERS ASKING FOR US BEEF WOULD ONLY BENEFIT THE PACKING INDUSTRY.

That's the kind of contradictions you get from those driven by blame and emotion rather than facts.

BTW, considering the percentage of retail beef that is US beef, even if consumers ask for US BEEF there is a 90+% chance that's what they are getting anyway.

How about this....

"US BEEF, IT'S WHAT'S FOR DINNER WHETHER YOU ASK FOR IT OR NOT".

That would be a little more accurate.


~SH~
 

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