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$3.00+ Corn is a coming!

Murgen said:
Once the trial begins all the BS from R-Calf and their beef loving bed-fellows will be replayed in the news. Only then will we all realize and suffer the cost of their misstatements and those of their alliance. Unfortunately, no matter the outcome of the trial the damage will be done.

Not sure how it works in the US, but can they withdraw their challenge of the rule? Better to save face then to be ridiculed later!

And how will lost export markets for the next seven years affect the markets? That is what RCALF has said should be done with a BSE herd right, no exports for 7 years, from last known case?

Lost exports will cost approximately $100 per head per year.
 
$100 is way too much to lose. Better to test for export or as old Ranchers poster says NO TEST NO SALE and ship meat and bse records via www.scoringag.com .Best traceback records in the world an perferred to prove Point-to-Point source verification.
 
PORKER said:
$100 is way too much to lose. Better to test for export or as old Ranchers poster says NO TEST NO SALE and ship meat and bse records via www.scoringag.com .Best traceback records in the world an perferred to prove Point-to-Point source verification.

Porker, it may come to full testing since the USDA and APHIS screwed things up so badly. However, I will remind you that there is no quarantee that Japan will accept our product if tested. If you are betting otherwise there is a good chance you may lose.
 
$100 is way too much to lose. Better to test for export or as old Ranchers poster says NO TEST NO SALE and ship meat and bse records via www.scoringag.com .Best traceback records in the world an perferred to prove Point-to-Point source verification.

You just might be right Porker, if your export markets will now trust your record keeping!

Would have been better not to overturn the apple cart too far in the first place, but I guess an issue was made of one or two cases, so now the cat is out of the bag.

How are you doing with getting hormone free beef into the EU, verified or not?
 
agman said:
Murgen said:
Once the trial begins all the BS from R-Calf and their beef loving bed-fellows will be replayed in the news. Only then will we all realize and suffer the cost of their misstatements and those of their alliance. Unfortunately, no matter the outcome of the trial the damage will be done.

Not sure how it works in the US, but can they withdraw their challenge of the rule? Better to save face then to be ridiculed later!

And how will lost export markets for the next seven years affect the markets? That is what RCALF has said should be done with a BSE herd right, no exports for 7 years, from last known case?

Lost exports will cost approximately $100 per head per year.

NCBA figures are $175 per head for last year.
 
CattleCo wrote:
Keep buying into the SS BS . If it works for you great..............but it is not for me and a lot of folks I know.

https://www.scoringag.com/Public/sample1.cfm gives you the complete record

Not one private data warehouse has made a dime of profit yet! Personally,
I don't need them, I don't want them, and I wont use
them......period.

They also got horse records at www.scoringhorses.com
 
agman said:
PORKER said:
$100 is way too much to lose. Better to test for export or as old Ranchers poster says NO TEST NO SALE and ship meat and bse records via www.scoringag.com .Best traceback records in the world an perferred to prove Point-to-Point source verification.

Porker, it may come to full testing since the USDA and APHIS screwed things up so badly. However, I will remind you that there is no quarantee that Japan will accept our product if tested. If you are betting otherwise there is a good chance you may lose.

Agman- Do you know anything about Itoham Foods out of Japan? CBC news had ran a story last week that Itoham was offering to pay all testing costs to the Canadians to begin importing beef. Ted Haney had admitted that a Canadian producer had applied for a testing permit- but that so far it hadn't been approved by the Canadian or Japanese government. The article said that they had previously offered to test US cattle and buy tested US beef, but had been turned down by the US.

My question is have you heard anything about these dealings? I haven't been able to find a print article......
 
CattleCo said:
I wonder how cocky the cow/calf boys will be when 5 wt calves get a 9 in front of them or maybe an 8? I cannot believe so many so called knowledgible folks in this industry think this market is "bullet proof"! I can tell you this.........when this market drops it will have little to do with supply. Iowa may look good in spots, but we are a LONG way from the crop in the bin. As for USDA if you believe all those big carryover numbers you will buy into anything. We have a fair amount of carryover, but it is not of the magnitude USDA is stating. Remember, we have a lot more things affecting this Cattle deal than SUPPLY! I predict we will see Canadian Beef promoted as the best and safest you can buy before this game plays out. I will also go out on a limb that mandatory BSE testing of all BEEF will happen....that will be a lot cheaper than Mandated Individual Food Animal ID. I will go out on another limb and say producer/premise ID and food animals tagged to reflect the place of origin may work so well we will NEVER see a government mandated Individual ID Program......All you private data WAREHOUSES THAT HAVE DOLLAR SIGNS IN YOUR EYES CAN CHEW ON THIS ONE OVER THE 4TH!!!
Have a great 4th and don't light a SHORT FUSE!!! :lol: :lol: :roll:

I dont think we COW/CALF guys are cocky its just our turn to get high prices we will take our turn at the bottom soon enough. The low cost efficient producers will prevail even on 70 cent calves.....Its just more fun at 1.25 calves but it wont last forever...
 
Mike said:
agman said:
Murgen said:
Not sure how it works in the US, but can they withdraw their challenge of the rule? Better to save face then to be ridiculed later!

And how will lost export markets for the next seven years affect the markets? That is what RCALF has said should be done with a BSE herd right, no exports for 7 years, from last known case?

Lost exports will cost approximately $100 per head per year.

NCBA figures are $175 per head for last year.

The value of lost export sales in 2004 vs 2003 was $3.05 billion which works out to exactly $93.00 per head of cattle in total commercial slaughter. That is the number, $93.00 per head, that is meaningful.
 
When asked in Colorado what it would be like without any trade Bullard responded, "we would be in a very favorable position because we don't produce enough to supply our own demand now".

I guess Bullard & Co. doesn't need an extra $93 per head.

Glad they don't represent the majority in our industry!



~SH~
 
Agman,

Haven't been in here much, statement on USDA was refreshing. When the first BSE was found, I thought they had handled it pretty well. But a lot doesn't make sense to me now. Same rules should apply whether it is in a box or not as far as age. That one never made sense. And I am not afraid of the safety of Canadian Beef. My statement has more to do with consistency of Policy.

When I read this post, it was funny, becase I had been thinkink about where my average sales price per head had been.The $93.00/ head drop is pretty close to what I think my average will be compared to last year. It was funny, I was talking to a freind about a video sale. I thionk he said he saw some mid-six weight calves for off the cow this fall go for over $1.40. My immediate response was I'd like to know who it is that can put 600-650 pounds on these cattle for $200, I felt I was being optimistic at putting $200 on them.

The calves I have bought this summer have been 550 lb Black/Black WF heifers coming in as singles. I have cutting horse guys that pasture them for free. Averaging about $1.15 on the cost for these,

I think looking at input options and doing a good job sorting the fats is what has helped me the most this year,

Well, enough of a ramble, hope you find good freinds, places and meals o be at this day,

PPRM
 
Oldtimer said:
agman said:
PORKER said:
$100 is way too much to lose. Better to test for export or as old Ranchers poster says NO TEST NO SALE and ship meat and bse records via www.scoringag.com .Best traceback records in the world an perferred to prove Point-to-Point source verification.

Porker, it may come to full testing since the USDA and APHIS screwed things up so badly. However, I will remind you that there is no quarantee that Japan will accept our product if tested. If you are betting otherwise there is a good chance you may lose.

Agman- Do you know anything about Itoham Foods out of Japan? CBC news had ran a story last week that Itoham was offering to pay all testing costs to the Canadians to begin importing beef. Ted Haney had admitted that a Canadian producer had applied for a testing permit- but that so far it hadn't been approved by the Canadian or Japanese government. The article said that they had previously offered to test US cattle and buy tested US beef, but had been turned down by the US.

My question is have you heard anything about these dealings? I haven't been able to find a print article......

I do not know but have contacts that can fill me in on them in short order. I will get back with some information tomorrow.
 
agman said:
Oldtimer said:
agman said:
Porker, it may come to full testing since the USDA and APHIS screwed things up so badly. However, I will remind you that there is no quarantee that Japan will accept our product if tested. If you are betting otherwise there is a good chance you may lose.

Agman- Do you know anything about Itoham Foods out of Japan? CBC news had ran a story last week that Itoham was offering to pay all testing costs to the Canadians to begin importing beef. Ted Haney had admitted that a Canadian producer had applied for a testing permit- but that so far it hadn't been approved by the Canadian or Japanese government. The article said that they had previously offered to test US cattle and buy tested US beef, but had been turned down by the US.

My question is have you heard anything about these dealings? I haven't been able to find a print article......

I do not know but have contacts that can fill me in on them in short order. I will get back with some information tomorrow.

There is a post on here somewhere about that OT.
 
So, lost exports is $93/head. Loss of domestic demand is $100/head.
That total $193/head, right?

That is what COULD happen? but since domestic demand is dropping since 2004, how much of that is blamed on Rcalf? I'm sure you guys will say "all of it", but that can not be true.
I would think part of it can be blamed on less people doing the Atkins diet. Since the old bird died, you hear less and less about his diet. And, if truly honest, most of the demand INCREASE in recent years is attributed to him.

So realistically, loss of $100/head is probably due to death of Atkins than anything else. Evidently, the consumer is making decisions based on what THEY want, not what YOU believe.

As for $93/head, exports are down because of our closeness to Canada, right? When THEY got BSE, our export markets died. Since then US has had a case. Our govt. is trying to resume trade relations with Japan, etc.
And since you guys assure me that NCBA and AMI do NOT influence politicians, then I don't see how RCalf can be responsible for anything either.

Just my rambling thoughts. Hope you are all celebrating INDEPENDENCE day, whatever it is you consider yourself to be independent from.
 
PPRM said:
Agman,

Haven't been in here much, statement on USDA was refreshing. When the first BSE was found, I thought they had handled it pretty well. But a lot doesn't make sense to me now. Same rules should apply whether it is in a box or not as far as age. That one never made sense. And I am not afraid of the safety of Canadian Beef. My statement has more to do with consistency of Policy.

When I read this post, it was funny, becase I had been thinkink about where my average sales price per head had been.The $93.00/ head drop is pretty close to what I think my average will be compared to last year. It was funny, I was talking to a freind about a video sale. I thionk he said he saw some mid-six weight calves for off the cow this fall go for over $1.40. My immediate response was I'd like to know who it is that can put 600-650 pounds on these cattle for $200, I felt I was being optimistic at putting $200 on them.

The calves I have bought this summer have been 550 lb Black/Black WF heifers coming in as singles. I have cutting horse guys that pasture them for free. Averaging about $1.15 on the cost for these,

I think looking at input options and doing a good job sorting the fats is what has helped me the most this year,

Well, enough of a ramble, hope you find good freinds, places and meals o be at this day,

PPRM

Those mid six weight feeders at $140/cwt breakeven as fats at $94/cwt using an all inclusive gain cost of $.48 per pound. Good luck to the man who made the purchase. My compliments to the man who made the sale.
I have your breakeven calculated at $77.43 @ 1250 finish weight. That should work fine.

Rambling is ok anytime; rumbling is prohibited on holidays!
 
agman said:
Oldtimer said:
agman said:
Porker, it may come to full testing since the USDA and APHIS screwed things up so badly. However, I will remind you that there is no quarantee that Japan will accept our product if tested. If you are betting otherwise there is a good chance you may lose.

Agman- Do you know anything about Itoham Foods out of Japan? CBC news had ran a story last week that Itoham was offering to pay all testing costs to the Canadians to begin importing beef. Ted Haney had admitted that a Canadian producer had applied for a testing permit- but that so far it hadn't been approved by the Canadian or Japanese government. The article said that they had previously offered to test US cattle and buy tested US beef, but had been turned down by the US.

My question is have you heard anything about these dealings? I haven't been able to find a print article......

I do not know but have contacts that can fill me in on them in short order. I will get back with some information tomorrow.

Back today...


Itoham Foods specializes in protein in a variety of forms. The Japanese company manufactures and sells fresh and processed meat products, including bacon, ham, and sausage, along with frozen foods, such as chicken and pizza. Itoham Foods operates feedlots in its home country as well as in Australia and New Zeland, for export to Japan. Fresh meat accounts for more than 50% of the company's sales. Its US subsidiary, California-based American Peptide Company, produces peptides and processes used by pharmaceutical and biotech companies to research and develop new drugs. Itoham Foods has plans to make and sell ham and sausages in China via a joint venture partnership with three local companies there. reprinted from Hoover's Online
 
agman said:
agman said:
Oldtimer said:
Agman- Do you know anything about Itoham Foods out of Japan? CBC news had ran a story last week that Itoham was offering to pay all testing costs to the Canadians to begin importing beef. Ted Haney had admitted that a Canadian producer had applied for a testing permit- but that so far it hadn't been approved by the Canadian or Japanese government. The article said that they had previously offered to test US cattle and buy tested US beef, but had been turned down by the US.

My question is have you heard anything about these dealings? I haven't been able to find a print article......

I do not know but have contacts that can fill me in on them in short order. I will get back with some information tomorrow.

Back today...


Itoham Foods specializes in protein in a variety of forms. The Japanese company manufactures and sells fresh and processed meat products, including bacon, ham, and sausage, along with frozen foods, such as chicken and pizza. Itoham Foods operates feedlots in its home country as well as in Australia and New Zeland, for export to Japan. Fresh meat accounts for more than 50% of the company's sales. Its US subsidiary, California-based American Peptide Company, produces peptides and processes used by pharmaceutical and biotech companies to research and develop new drugs. Itoham Foods has plans to make and sell ham and sausages in China via a joint venture partnership with three local companies there. reprinted from Hoover's Online

Thanks Agman- I wonder if USDA or CFIA will be allowed to give any packers permission to give them tested beef if Japan and/or the Asian Rim countries agree to accept it? :???: :? ......
 

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