Conman: "SH, the time periods are important. Of course when looking at marketing agreements you totally missed that. There are different strategies for different time periods. We will have to wait and see what this one is."
Oh, yeh, here we go again, the "UNEXPLAINED SELECTIVE PERIODS OF MARKET MANIPULATION" theory. Hahaha!
Go take your stupidity to another forum where people don't know any better. What an idiot!
What factors allow them to manipulate markets at some times and not at others Conman?
Watch the circus chicken dance around that question folks! Conman couldn't explain his theory on "PERIODIC MARKET MANIPULATION" if his phony life depended on it. Conman won't even try to explain it.
JUST WATCH! The Conman can make the statements but runs like a scalded dog when challenged to defend them.
Rod: "Even a non-competitve company is going to cut costs whereever possible to increase efficiency and increase profits. Actually closing down plants in certain areas and reducing their exposure in those areas would lead me to believe they are comfortable enough with their position that feedlots will ship a greater distance. In other words, there isn't any true competition in the area."
What are the things we know for sure Rod?????
We know their profits have dwindled to losses unless you think they are lying to their investers. Now that would really take a stretch of the imagination.
We know that closing plants means taking jobs away from people. That is never easy for any company.
We know this is a move to increase efficiency and cut costs? WHAT DRIVES THAT DECISION????? COMPETITION!
That's the hypocrisy! You can't claim on one hand an industry is "NON COMPETIVE" and then face the cold hard facts that Tyson is closing plants to remain competitive.
Hell, one of those plants was BEEF AMERICA that shut down due to an ecoli outbreak. DID YOU THINK IBP/TYSON BOUGHT BEEF AMERICA PLANNING TO SOMEDAY SHUT IT DOWN?????
What do you think that would cost them?????
USE YOUR HEAD ROD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The fact is the packing industry is highly competive and the most efficient plants are going to pay more for the cattle than the less efficient plants OR THEY DON'T GET THEM BOUHGT. EVERY PACKER NEEDS THOSE CATTLE TO FUNCTION.
PROFITABLE PLANTS DO NOT CLOSE DOWN ROD, THEY EXPAND!!!!!!!
Why can't you get it ???? I know idiots like Conman are incapable of reason but you should be able to figure this out.
Do you think it's easy for Tyson to tell those workers they are out of a job???? What company does that unless they are forced to BECAUSE OF COMPETITION. If those plants were profitable, they would not be closing. If they are closing THERE HAS TO BE COMPETITION IN THE INDUSTRY.
You can't explain it any other way. If efficiency was the only reason to close these plants, THEY WOULD HAVE DONE IT A LONG TIME AGO.
Rod: "Did you miss the original post stating that they were EXPANDING the consolidated plant?"
WHICH COSTS MONEY!!!!
Some of the cattle from the feedlots that were close to the plants that are closing will now go to Tyson's competition (Excel and Swift) due to transportation costs. Did you think of that? NO! This is not a move that doesn't have negative consequences. You have to see the big picture here. This is a FORCED MOVE to squeeze every dime out of this industry!
Closing these plants may prove to be a big mistake financially but obviously Tyson sees no option.
AGAIN, THIS IS A FORCED MOVE WITH FINANCIAL RISKS!
If this move was not forced by competition, THEY WOULD HAVE NEVER BOUGHT THE BEEF AMERICA PLANT IN THE FIRST PLACE.
Rod: "You seem to be under the impression that competition is the only driving force behind increasing efficiency. Its not. MAXIMIZING PROFITS is what drives a company to be more efficient."
This move is being forced by high priced cattle in relation to boxed beef prices. Those plants are losing money.
Do you see how hypocritical your arguments are???? On one hand you believe the industry needs more competition and you mistakenly believe more plants means more competition without considering plant efficiency and economies of scale. On the other hand you understand that companies consolidate to be more efficient. IF THERE WAS NO COMPETITION, THERE WOULD BE NO REASON TO CONSOLIDATE!
If the industry was anti-competitive, those companies would be expanding rather than closing. AFTER ALL, ONE PLANT IS EXPANDING WHICH COSTS MONEY.
Robert Mac,
I am speaking about competition from other packers to buy those same cattle not about competition from competing meats.
RM: "There is no way that a beef processor can become efficient enough to pay $1.00/lb for fats and work in the 'black'. To pay more for cattle and both the cattle and beef sectors making money, the consumer has to pay more for meat. And you know as well as I do that retail beef prices are tied to pork and poultry prices."
EXACTLY!
Or all the packers will be forced to pay less for cattle.
There is clear choices here:
1. Packers get more efficient. Highly unlikely because they are about as efficient as they are going to get.
2. Consumers pay more for beef. As you stated, that depends on the supply and the demand FOR ALL COMPETITING PROTEINS. Because consumers have other protein choices and only so much money to spend on food, they are only going to pay a certain amount FOR THE AVAILABLE SUPPLY OF BEEF relative to pork and poultry.
3. Packers pay less for cattle.
4. Packers lose money and close plants.
At some point, either consumers are going to pay more for beef and beef by products or packers are going to pay less for cattle. That's all there is to it because packers are not going to go broke for the sake of producers and they can't cut their processing costs anymore than they have. WOULD YOU????
That's just the cold hard facts!
RM: "If your company sells poultry and beef and poultry has a higher profit margin at a lower per lb capital expense, are you going to work to shift market share from poultry to beef?"
RIDICULOUS!
That's the same stupid conspiracy argument that Conman and Sandbag believe. Tyson would not allow beef profits to suffer to benefit poultry.
ABSOLUTELY RIDICULOUS!!!
Robert, Tyson's beef losses will be Excel and Swift's beef gains. Can't you understand that???? Those beef processing plants still have to make a profit or there is no reason in having them. Tyson is not going to carry their beef division with their poultry division. To do so would be the stupidist business move ever. Why would Tyson invest in the beef industry if those plants were not profitable? What possible advantage would there be to doing that???
ONCE AGAIN, THEIR "INTENTIONAL" BEEF LOSSES WOULD BE EXCEL AND SWIFTS GAIN.
As you can plainly see, SWIFT IS IN THE SAME BOAT so that can only mean one thing. FIERCE COMPETITION!
Here, let me explain it this way. Tyson would not be losing money if the markets were truly anticompetitive. Consolidation and plant closings is a direct result of competition. When plants are not carrying their weight from a profitability standpoint and they are as efficient as they can get, they have one of two choices. Either close their doors or consildate/merge further concentrating the industry.
The irony is that you guys (Rod and Robert Mac) and the usual team of packer blamers (Conman, Sandbag, and Randy Kaiser) hate both sides of the equation. You hate the packers if they are too profitable and you hate consolidation YET A LACK OF PROFITABILITY LEADS TO CONSILDATION AND CONCENTRATION.
CATCH 22!!!!!!!
Rod: "Every single time an independent packer is bought out by the big 2 (in Canada) or the Big 5 (in the US), it HURTS the cow/calf producer."
A LACK OF PACKER PROFITABILITY IS CREATING THAT SITUATION ROD!!!!
The alternative is for the government to step in and shore up the less efficient packing companies so they can compete. IS THAT WHAT YOU WANT???
You can't have it both ways. You can't have a highly competitive packing industry that maximizes the price that can be paid for cattle and maximizes their efficiency without it leading to concentration and mergers.
YOU HAVE A CLEAR CHOICE HERE:
1. LARGER PACKER PROFITS
or
2. CONCENTRATION AND CONSOLIDATION.
You can't have slim profit margins without encouraging consolidation and concentration (mergers).
Conman: "MRJ, how about just a little enforcement of the PSA? We don't need a bunch of new laws here in the U.S., we just need some competent enforcement. We don't need producers to be subsidized, we need to let natural forces of supply and demand to dictate price and quantity---not market power moves by packers or little bits of help in the govt. to the packers in the regulatory agencies. It doesn't help to have people like you who don't know a thing about market power or market frauds to support the packers. Canada needs enforcement also. I don't know if Canada has a PSA equivilent or other competition laws but they don't need laws that are not enforced either. It is just a false sense of security for producers."
BLAH, BLAH, BLAH!
Here packers are closing their doors due to a lack of profitability and you are still pissing and moaning about anti competitiveness.
Rod: "I find it staggering that producers are unable to comprehend how concentration is hurting producers."
I find it staggering that SOME producers are unable to comprehend how tight packer profit margins leads to consolidation and concentration. I also find it staggering that SOME producers are unable to comprehend that less efficient packers cannot pay more for cattle than more efficient packers. It boggles my mind that someone could be so naive about business.
CATTLEMEN ARE GETTING LARGER AND MORE EFFICIENT and yet you cannot reason why packers are doing the same thing.
WHAT ABOUT RANCHER CONCENTRATION???
How big is too big???
Do you want laws to govern rancher concentration so the less efficient smaller rancher can compete????? SAME DAMN LOGIC!
Rod: "I know producers who supported the break up of Microsoft, and supported not allowing them to invest with Intel, but are fine with the idea that Tyson should be allowed to invest in chicken, pork AND beef industries."
Either you have a free economy or a government run economy.
SOME CHOICE?
Right here in this thread we are seeing the clear differences between the "please government, save us from ourselves / shore up poor management" attitude and the "free market economy" attitude.
Randy Kaiser, you can't even get past believing that Tyson is losing money so your packer blamer pom pom waving is nothing more than a subtle distraction. Show a little more leg and you might get Conman's attention. LOL!
~SH~